NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	7.3 [381]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (NOK): +23.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	104		Comeback	2.4 [168]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.11	0.17	-0.04	0.02	12	85%	0.17	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	19	46%	0.06	5	-0.19	12	92%	0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.02	10	79%	0.34	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	14	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	13	73%	0.23	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	52%	0.04	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	0.02	0.02	23	45%	0.10	7	-0.24	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.4	16.0	28.0	0.8	46.2	147.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +52.5%

NOK +8.5%

NOK +2.0%

WAS -3.5%

WAS -9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOK	NBA	WAS	NOK	NBA
this game	14.5	16.4	15.4	104.3	111.8	104.5
season	14.8	16.0		107.8	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	15.7	13.4	14.4	14.5
NOK	18.2	14.3	18.5	15.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	2	2	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-8	9	6.0	14.7	-8.71	17.5	16.4	1.08
Donell Taylor	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-9	11	23.5	13.7	9.82	18.7	16.2	2.53
Brendan Haywood	48	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-9	11	13.7	15.4	-1.65	17.3	15.6	1.65
Etan Thomas	27	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	18.5	12.9	5.57	17.6	15.9	1.61
Andray Blatche	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	0	-7	18.6	14.3	4.30	14.0	16.6	-2.58
DeShawn Stevenson	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-9	11	12.7	18.9	-6.20	16.1	17.4	-1.36
Antonio Daniels	27	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	2	-11	18.9	12.7	6.20	17.4	16.1	1.36
Gilbert Arenas	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.4	21.6	-8.24	16.4	16.9	-0.56
Caron Butler	89	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.4	17.2	-2.85	16.6	14.0	2.55
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	13.9	16.9	-2.98	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Jarvis Hayes	39	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.17	-13	6	-19	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.5	17.9	-3.41

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	79	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-5	17	16.3	17.1	-0.83	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Devin Brown	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	0	7	16.4	16.8	-0.47	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Desmond Mason	86	86	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	5	-3	16.4	16.4	0.01	14.1	19.6	-5.46
Jannero Pargo	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	15.7	17.4	-1.74	15.2	13.8	1.39
Tyson Chandler	69	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.39	-1	8	-9	17.3	14.1	3.18	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Linton Johnson	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-2	11	15.4	17.4	-2.00	16.9	12.5	4.38
Marc Jackson	59	57	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	17.2	15.1	2.13	14.2	15.1	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.95,1	92.3%
NYK 81, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	92.0%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	91.8%