NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	9.3 [92]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAC): +7.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.8 [834]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -38.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.12	-0.01	27	64%	0.09	2	-0.07	15	80%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	20	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	17	28%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.39	-0.06	-0.34	-0.00	9	47%	-0.17	3	-0.22	1	0%	-0.10

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	15	68%	0.18	4	-0.12	14	86%	0.07
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.12	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.18	-0.03	19	45%	-0.00	3	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.20	0.00	11	55%	-0.02	5	-0.28	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	30.0	16.6	23.5	2.6	41.4	142.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +68.2%

LAC +6.8%

LAC +21.3%

LAL -48.6%

LAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	15.7	99.0	104.1	100.5
season	15.4	15.5		102.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	15.6	14.7	14.1	14.9
LAC	17.7	12.1	13.0	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	23	24	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-6	9	14.2	15.1	-0.91	15.2	14.3	0.92
Bryon Russell	48	47	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	15.4	14.3	1.10	15.6	13.5	2.14
Brian Cook	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.6	14.5	1.14	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Slava Medvedenko	83	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-6	9	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.1	11.4	3.76
Devean George	31	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	0	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.89	12.8	15.3	-2.51
Derek Fisher	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	14.5	15.1	-0.62	14.8	14.2	0.60
Horace Grant	78	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	2	-7	15.0	14.4	0.62	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Gary Payton	72	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.0	-0.18	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Kobe Bryant	82	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.37	14.1	16.4	-2.23

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	75	78	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-5	13	14.1	16.1	-2.04	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Corey Maggette	81	85	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-6	15	13.6	18.9	-5.30	15.1	13.6	1.51
Quentin Richardson	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	0	3	14.7	13.2	1.48	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Elton Brand	88	88	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	4	-5	14.6	13.2	1.43	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Chris Kaman	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	2	-1	14.6	14.5	0.10	15.0	14.7	0.32
Chris Wilcox	20	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	15.4	14.3	1.11	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Predrag Drobnjak	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	1	1	14.1	14.8	-0.71	15.7	14.3	1.47
Keyon Dooling	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	15.4	14.2	1.21	14.2	15.1	-0.82
Glen Rice	30	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	16.3	13.7	2.54	14.2	15.2	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	92.5%
WAS 88, CHH 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.94,0.92,1	92.1%
SAC 103, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.95,1,1,1	92.1%