NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	7.9 [152]		MVP	Bobby Phills (CHH): +51.9%
Charlotte Hornets	90		Comeback	2.5 [354]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -31.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.46	0.15	0.26	-0.05	13	77%	0.46	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Coker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	20	58%	0.13	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Randell Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Mitch Richmond	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.22	-0.10	-0.00	14	17%	-0.22	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.12,0.52	0.52	0.03	0.48	-0.01	11	57%	0.52	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.07
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	13	46%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	21	60%	0.05	3	-0.08	11	73%	0.01
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.10	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Charles Shackleford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.4	15.6	26.5	1.8	37.1	131.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +12.8%

CHH +8.4%

WAS -1.0%

CHH +25.3%

CHH +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.8	94.6	96.8	99.6
season	15.5	15.7		98.8	99.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	15.0	15.8	17.2	15.6
CHH	14.0	16.3	13.5	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Legler	22	23	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.29	1	-3	4	15.3	15.7	-0.43	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Randell Jackson	24	23	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-10	18	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.3	15.0	1.36
John Coker	29	31	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-5	8	15.4	15.8	-0.39	14.2	15.9	-1.65
Jeff McInnis	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	17.3	15.4	1.94	12.3	15.7	-3.46
Otis Thorpe	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.39	3	-5	8	15.6	15.7	-0.07	16.5	10.6	5.96
Rod Strickland	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.4	17.3	-1.94	15.7	12.3	3.46
Mitch Richmond	76	74	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.6	14.3	1.27
Terry Davis	40	41	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	7	-16	17.5	14.2	3.34	15.5	15.2	0.34
Juwan Howard	80	80	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	4	-10	15.6	16.0	-0.41	14.8	18.5	-3.74
Calbert Cheaney	28	26	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	6	-14	14.1	16.3	-2.20	13.3	16.1	-2.80

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-3	8	15.2	15.9	-0.77	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Chucky Brown	66	66	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.43	-1	3	-4	14.9	16.4	-1.58	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Eddie Jones	66	66	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.42	-1	3	-4	14.9	16.4	-1.58	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Bobby Phills	74	75	0.36	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	4	-6	15.0	16.7	-1.71	15.9	14.7	1.21
David Wesley	84	83	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	9	-16	15.0	17.9	-2.84	15.7	15.6	0.05
Corey Beck	9	10	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	-7	16	17.9	15.0	2.84	15.6	15.7	-0.05
Ricky Davis	19	18	0.13	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	-2	6	16.7	15.0	1.71	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Chuck Person	27	27	0.10	0.39	-0.29	0.01	3	-1	4	16.4	14.9	1.58	15.8	15.6	0.19
Eldridge Recasner	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	16.4	14.9	1.58	15.8	15.6	0.19
Charles Shackleford	18	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.03	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.2	0.77	15.9	15.6	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	92.4%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	92.1%
GSW 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.94,1,1	91.9%