NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	8.7 [159]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +28.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	2.1 [581]		LVP	David West (IND): -21.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	2	90%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	9	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Ben Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	87%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	5	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	16	47%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Paul George	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	15	47%	-0.05	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.04
David West	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	14	37%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	0.01	22	64%	0.39	3	-0.10	9	67%	-0.07
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	14	55%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	23	38%	-0.03	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	27.4	15.7	28.2	2.4	37.5	136.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +71.1%

IND -11.5%

IND -9.9%

IND -1.1%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.4	94.9	100.0	104.1
season	16.1	14.7		102.4	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	16.7	16.3	13.0	15.6
MIL	15.5	13.9	11.8	14.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	29	31	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.04	9	-14	23	14.1	16.2	-2.04	15.2	13.2	2.01
Gerald Green	38	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-12	19	14.3	16.3	-2.01	14.2	13.6	0.65
Sam Young	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	14.3	16.0	-1.73	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Ben Hansbrough	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	14.6	15.9	-1.25	13.3	14.0	-0.64
Ian Mahinmi	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	14.7	16.2	-1.58	13.3	14.2	-0.94
George Hill	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	15.9	14.6	1.25	14.0	13.3	0.64
Roy Hibbert	55	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	16.5	14.3	2.22	14.2	13.3	0.97
Lance Stephenson	57	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	5	-15	16.7	14.0	2.70	13.7	14.0	-0.37
Paul George	77	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	5	-15	15.6	15.6	-0.06	13.9	13.5	0.43
David West	69	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.32	-14	9	-23	16.2	14.1	2.04	13.2	15.3	-2.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	82	81	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	13.7	14.2	-0.52	15.6	15.4	0.19
Larry Sanders	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-8	21	13.9	13.7	0.25	16.3	14.5	1.80
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	13.6	14.4	-0.86	15.9	14.9	1.00
Brandon Jennings	90	91	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	13.7	14.9	-1.15	15.8	12.6	3.23
Mike Dunleavy	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.0	13.6	0.42	14.5	17.0	-2.46
Marquis Daniels	44	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	4	-3	13.7	13.9	-0.29	16.6	14.7	1.86
Drew Gooden	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	13.3	13.9	-0.53	13.6	15.8	-2.22
Ersan Ilyasova	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	14.4	13.6	0.86	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Ekpe Udoh	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.19	-9	14	-23	13.8	13.8	-0.03	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Doron Lamb	24	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	12	-19	14.3	13.7	0.63	14.5	15.9	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	93.1%
MIN 100, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.1%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	92.5%