NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	7.4 [323]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +19.0%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	2.6 [491]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -20.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	13	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	55%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.12
Travis Best	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	11	78%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.05	-0.02	18	38%	-0.01	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.05
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	25	43%	-0.14	2	-0.07	15	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.6	31.7	19.0	29.2	3.4	37.4	153.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -8.4%

IND -7.4%

CHI +43.0%

CHI +24.7%

IND -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	18.1	15.6	102.5	106.0	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	18.9	17.4	16.2	17.0
CHI	17.9	16.2	16.9	21.4	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	37	37	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-11	17	15.4	18.4	-3.05	18.3	17.9	0.36
Travis Best	27	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	18.6	16.2	2.39	19.3	17.4	1.96
Jalen Rose	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	4	-13	19.8	15.7	4.14	16.3	18.9	-2.57
Antonio Davis	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	17.7	16.5	1.22	18.9	17.3	1.65
Dale Davis	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	0	-5	17.0	17.1	-0.03	17.1	21.4	-4.34
Rik Smits	44	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-8	11	16.4	17.8	-1.32	20.0	15.5	4.54
Mark Jackson	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-5	5	16.2	18.6	-2.39	17.4	19.3	-1.96
Reggie Miller	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.45	-1	-4	3	16.1	23.8	-7.72	17.9	19.4	-1.49
Derrick McKey	44	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	5	-15	18.4	15.5	2.90	17.9	18.4	-0.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-3	11	17.6	21.6	-3.91	16.2	24.5	-8.28
Dennis Rodman	49	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-8	21	16.4	20.4	-3.96	17.4	16.4	0.96
Luc Longley	57	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	4	-3	19.2	15.5	3.75	16.4	18.4	-1.98
Scottie Pippen	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	3	-1	18.7	15.4	3.26	17.1	16.7	0.45
Ron Harper	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	8	-11	18.5	17.5	1.02	16.6	17.8	-1.19
Jud Buechler	18	17	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-3	11	16.4	18.5	-2.15	20.6	16.1	4.49
Steve Kerr	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-2	9	18.9	17.6	1.33	18.6	16.2	2.47
Toni Kukoc	58	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	9	-13	17.8	18.7	-0.93	16.8	17.6	-0.83
Scott Burrell	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	8	-11	15.3	18.4	-3.07	17.8	16.9	0.83
Dickey Simpkins	2	1	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	9	-13	32.5	17.7	14.78	13.0	17.1	-4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, NOK 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	92.3%
MIA 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	91.5%
MIN 107, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.99,1	91.4%