NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	8.3 [187]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +52.6%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	2.8 [754]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -38.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	6	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.09	-0.12	0.04	18	67%	0.08	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.00	14	51%	0.01	4	-0.08	11	73%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38	-0.18	-0.21	-0.01	19	33%	-0.29	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.25	0.28	0.01	8	128%	0.56	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	13	54%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	9	100%	0.06
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	12	26%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	12	45%	-0.13	3	-0.15	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	28.4	15.5	27.3	1.7	41.0	137.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.2%

MIN -11.8%

PHX +0.8%

PHX +9.8%

MIN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.6	110.3	113.9	104.4
season	15.5	14.6		103.3	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	17.5	16.9	11.9	15.1
PHX	15.3	12.0	14.5	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	14	14	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.13	2	-10	12	15.9	15.0	0.91	17.2	13.5	3.70
Dean Garrett	53	58	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-13	18	15.7	14.3	1.36	14.1	13.9	0.25
Sam Mitchell	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-3	-2	18.3	14.5	3.77	13.1	14.2	-1.05
Terry Porter	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	13.2	16.9	-3.67	14.4	13.7	0.62
James Robinson	14	16	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	5	-18	19.4	14.3	5.08	11.9	14.4	-2.49
Doug West	90	95	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-7	6	14.6	21.1	-6.53	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Stephon Marbury	82	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.09	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Tom Gugliotta	87	91	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	1	-10	14.8	17.5	-2.70	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Kevin Garnett	83	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	2	-12	15.3	13.9	1.43	14.2	12.9	1.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	87	84	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-2	12	14.4	11.8	2.61	15.2	14.2	1.07
Rex Chapman	89	83	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	5	-2	14.1	13.2	0.98	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Wesley Person	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-7	22	13.2	15.2	-2.00	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Mike Brown	19	20	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-4	16	15.4	13.7	1.65	17.7	14.4	3.36
Kevin Johnson	87	84	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	5	-2	13.8	15.6	-1.87	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Hot Rod Williams	82	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	13	-18	14.4	12.6	1.79	14.5	17.3	-2.78
Danny Manning	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.24	11	-3	14	12.2	15.6	-3.36	15.3	14.9	0.38
Wayman Tisdale	34	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	17	-26	15.8	13.1	2.70	15.6	14.8	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.95,1	91.4%
CHA 83, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.96,1	90.5%
WAS 97, NOK 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	90.1%