inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 83 Excitement7.7 [290] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +24.6%
Atlanta Hawks 88 Comeback2.8 [570] LVPRaymond Felton (CHA): -22.8%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0.200,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.20.130.05-0.022062%0.241-0.04250%-0.02
Matt Carroll0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.080.00375%0.161-0.03683%0.00
Jared Dudley0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.08-0.00470%0.1300.00250%-0.03
Ryan Hollins0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00175%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Emeka Okafor0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Adam Morrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean May-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.050.031555%0.012-0.071100%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00425%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Alexis Ajinca-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.040.00333%-0.013-0.1000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00312%-0.072-0.08250%-0.01
Raymond Felton-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23-0.17-0.07-0.021520%-0.192-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.150.120.021767%0.362-0.1111100%0.07
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.070.17-0.001467%0.323-0.08580%-0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.140.140.010.11-0.011254%0.192-0.05250%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01862%0.144-0.1800%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00150%0.012-0.06475%0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.050.01440%-0.053-0.0920%-0.02
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.0150%-0.104-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.430.615.726.01.835.2140.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +50.3%
ATL +8.9%
ATL +9.1%
CHA -27.5%
ATL +9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game17.615.115.595.498.9106.4
season16.515.8103.0106.7
opponent16.115.6106.0104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.117.719.117.717.6
ATL15.911.814.519.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexis Ajinca28290.10-0.600.70-0.107-121917.417.7-0.3015.115.10.02
Matt Carroll38400.02-0.520.530.020-5516.318.7-2.3414.515.6-1.09
Ryan Hollins1922-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-4317.817.60.2014.615.3-0.71
Sean May76-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-1-317.317.7-0.3811.315.4-4.06
Adam Morrison1413-0.08-0.420.340.07-50-514.818.2-3.3910.715.9-5.19
Nazr Mohammed1917-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-1-317.217.8-0.6114.315.3-1.03
Shannon Brown1013-0.25-0.250.010.05-105-1520.317.33.0114.215.3-1.14
Emeka Okafor5656-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.463-81118.615.92.6416.412.93.57
Gerald Wallace7374-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.473-81117.816.90.8415.612.72.95
D.J. Augustin7372-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.25-50-517.418.9-1.4615.912.03.86
Raymond Felton6264-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.44-1-4318.016.81.1714.616.6-2.00
Jared Dudley3639-0.520.02-0.54-0.28-83-1117.917.40.5315.514.80.65

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams64630.68-0.180.860.429-41315.913.22.6817.717.50.18
Joe Johnson75730.66-0.160.820.467-2915.513.22.2717.916.01.95
Mike Bibby63620.420.080.330.48-27-916.013.12.8417.617.8-0.24
Maurice Evans48470.340.160.170.2241315.015.3-0.3617.717.50.24
Al Horford54540.190.31-0.120.33-510-1516.013.82.1318.316.61.65
Acie Law33310.140.36-0.21-0.098-31114.115.7-1.5916.818.1-1.28
Ronald Murray34320.080.42-0.33-0.127-2912.516.7-4.2017.118.0-0.90
Solomon Jones42410.040.46-0.42-0.0841313.916.2-2.3116.718.5-1.84
Zaza Pachulia3232-0.050.55-0.600.16-712-1915.415.00.3918.317.21.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 101, CLE 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,191.5%
LAL 83, UTA 880.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.98,191.4%
IND 73, DEN 760.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.83,0.96,191.2%