inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 83 Excitement7.5 [313] MVPMo Williams (UTA): +5.3%
Utah Jazz 88 Comeback3.1 [622] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -19.1%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kareem Rush-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.021155%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.030.02460%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Derek Fisher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.01954%-0.012-0.04683%-0.02
Rick Fox-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Gary Payton-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.120.01-0.031846%0.024-0.111080%0.01
Devean George-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.030.0010%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Brian Cook-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12-0.05-0.050.02650%-0.073-0.0500%0.00
Luke Walton-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.090.01839%-0.1300.00250%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.011246%-0.034-0.141155%-0.05

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.050.00450%0.0500.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.05-0.02458%0.062-0.03475%0.02
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.020.02-0.030.060.011752%0.103-0.096100%0.02
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06-0.060.02-0.060.02968%0.032-0.097100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.0167%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01954%0.045-0.15683%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.040.001343%-0.064-0.13978%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.633.215.626.32.541.2147.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +30.0%
UTA +12.7%
UTA +12.9%
LAL -10.5%
UTA +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALUTANBALALUTANBA
this game15.315.015.786.593.6100.5
season15.417.2102.899.4
opponent15.215.6100.899.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.516.614.015.215.3
UTA18.012.816.013.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal53540.33-0.831.160.0410-152515.515.00.5216.313.32.96
Rick Fox31310.03-0.530.56-0.094-91315.915.00.9217.114.03.18
Luke Walton7170-0.19-0.310.12-0.314-91315.115.9-0.7716.311.15.20
Gary Payton8683-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.27-1-4315.315.4-0.1015.114.50.51
Bryon Russell3229-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.04-94-1314.915.5-0.6611.316.6-5.34
Kareem Rush8483-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.392-7914.818.7-3.9315.114.50.51
Devean George3233-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-116-1716.214.91.3114.615.2-0.56
Derek Fisher4645-0.520.02-0.53-0.25-94-1315.415.20.1914.215.7-1.49
Brian Cook4542-0.860.36-1.22-0.42-1510-2515.415.20.2513.016.6-3.57

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordan Giricek69700.60-0.100.700.349-41314.217.2-3.0515.215.7-0.47
Greg Ostertag60590.52-0.020.540.356-1714.016.8-2.7615.714.70.95
Raul Lopez55560.51-0.010.520.1911-61713.517.1-3.5515.215.4-0.15
Raja Bell67680.480.020.470.287-2914.117.1-2.9615.115.9-0.82
Andrei Kirilenko80810.400.100.300.43-16-715.015.1-0.1715.116.6-1.53
Mikki Moore13150.140.36-0.22-0.077-2915.714.90.8016.615.11.53
Michael Ruffin17170.060.44-0.37-0.0232114.515.1-0.5713.715.7-1.95
Carlos Arroyo3536-0.020.52-0.530.13-510-1516.913.83.1015.415.20.17
Tom Gugliotta2829-0.020.52-0.550.06-38-1116.814.22.5415.515.20.29
Mo Williams2020-0.040.54-0.590.01-27-915.414.90.5115.015.4-0.33
Sasha Pavlovic910-0.050.55-0.600.04-38-1121.814.37.5016.715.21.55
Jarron Collins1719-0.090.59-0.670.03-49-1319.014.14.8816.215.11.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 92, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.56,0.46,0.55,0.92,192.5%
OKC 98, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.31,0.55,0.94,0.92,191.8%
WAS 92, CHA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.74,191.8%