NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	109		Excitement	13.6 [7]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +31.7%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	10.9 [182]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -36.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	14	64%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.1	-0.03	0.14	0.01	13	41%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.08,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.06	-0.01	21	60%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	6	42%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.19	0.02	-0.22	-0.00	12	58%	-0.02	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Adam Morrison	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.03	-0.22	-0.02	18	39%	-0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.36	-0.10	-0.27	-0.01	16	38%	-0.27	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.20	0.01	15	69%	0.50	3	-0.18	12	58%	-0.06
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.47,-0.43,-0.43,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.11	0.00	8	56%	0.47	5	-0.44	2	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.03	26	56%	0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.18	-0.03	23	51%	-0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.19	0.01	12	32%	-0.28	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	31.1	15.7	25.7	2.0	26.5	2.0	20.5	1.8	19.1	173.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +111.4%

CHA -6.1%

CHA -22.6%

CHA -15.7%

CHA -17.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.9	15.4	100.9	106.7	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		101.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.0	14.3	16.5	18.3	16.1	15.9
NYK	16.3	17.8	14.1	21.4	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	49	51	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.17	0	-2	2	17.1	14.9	2.24	17.2	16.7	0.48
Adam Morrison	54	51	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-7	12	15.8	16.0	-0.20	17.2	16.7	0.48
Jake Voskuhl	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-6	10	15.6	16.0	-0.38	17.7	16.8	0.92
Othella Harrington	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-1	0	17.2	15.7	1.50	17.5	16.8	0.64
Melvin Ely	24	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	0	-2	13.8	16.5	-2.73	16.4	17.1	-0.63
Matt Carroll	48	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-10	18	14.7	16.9	-2.18	17.7	16.3	1.38
Raymond Felton	95	92	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-2	2	16.0	15.3	0.69	16.8	17.8	-1.02
Gerald Wallace	89	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	1	-4	16.5	13.3	3.16	17.0	16.4	0.63
Emeka Okafor	95	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.6	18.5	-2.89	16.5	20.1	-3.56
Derek Anderson	56	55	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.56	-16	14	-30	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.4	17.5	-1.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	88	93	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.50	5	-3	8	16.4	19.9	-3.55	16.1	14.7	1.37
Jamal Crawford	96	99	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	16.9	16.7	0.20	16.3	12.0	4.27
Channing Frye	91	94	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-11	24	16.8	18.1	-1.31	16.2	14.1	2.12
Eddy Curry	84	88	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-6	14	16.7	18.1	-1.45	16.6	12.7	3.89
Stephon Marbury	95	98	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	4	-6	17.0	16.6	0.41	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Renaldo Balkman	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	8	-14	18.1	16.1	2.00	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Kelvin Cato	15	15	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	5	-8	17.5	16.8	0.62	11.7	16.6	-4.86
Malik Rose	10	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	10	-18	19.3	16.7	2.62	14.8	16.0	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,0.5,0.25,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.1,0.1,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.45,0.31,0	85.9%
CLE 96, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.37,1	85.6%
IND 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	85.3%