NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.8 [143]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +25.5%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	7.5 [325]		LVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): -28.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.08,0.14,0,0,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	17	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.13
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	11	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	6	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.23	0.02	10	58%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.08
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.03	11	69%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	58%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Terrence Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	8	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.13
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	13	38%	-0.05	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.18	0.02	19	44%	-0.03	4	-0.25	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.5	27.5	15.6	34.5	0.3	39.0	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.2%

TOR +37.6%

CLE -8.0%

CLE -7.4%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.4	99.0	103.1	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		102.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	12.9	15.7	14.0	14.3
TOR	15.0	16.5	13.1	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	50	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.4	14.3	2.13
Kyrie Irving	51	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	0	-4	14.4	14.1	0.37	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Dion Waiters	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-8	12	13.7	15.1	-1.39	16.2	14.3	1.88
CJ Miles	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-12	20	13.8	14.8	-0.93	16.0	14.8	1.14
Tristan Thompson	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	14.2	14.3	-0.03	15.6	15.1	0.53
Luke Walton	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-3	2	14.1	14.4	-0.25	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Marreese Speights	34	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	5	-14	15.7	13.5	2.18	13.4	16.5	-3.04
Alonzo Gee	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.1	0.28	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Wayne Ellington	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	4	-12	15.1	13.7	1.39	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Shaun Livingston	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-4	4	14.1	14.4	-0.37	15.8	15.1	0.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.11	16	-12	28	14.6	17.2	-2.54	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Amir Johnson	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	15.8	14.0	1.78	14.3	14.0	0.32
Alan Anderson	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	3	-2	15.4	15.5	-0.12	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Landry Fields	45	46	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	4	-4	15.7	15.2	0.52	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	26	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	6	-8	15.8	15.3	0.46	15.6	13.8	1.81
DeMar DeRozan	80	81	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	6	-8	16.1	12.1	4.09	14.0	15.4	-1.34
Jonas Valanciunas	68	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	-2	8	14.8	17.0	-2.24	14.3	14.1	0.28
Terrence Ross	57	56	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	15.3	15.6	-0.24	14.6	13.8	0.83
John Lucas III	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.6	15.4	0.17	12.7	14.5	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.37,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.58,1	90.3%
MIA 95, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.73,1	90.1%
SAS 102, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.41,1	89.1%