inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 96 Excitement7.6 [281] MVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): +27.7%
Washington Wizards 87 Comeback7.7 [85] LVPJermaine O'Neal (IND): -23.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley0.280,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.25,0.280.120.180.021086%0.342-0.06250%-0.01
Jonathan Bender0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.00-0.00679%0.081-0.022100%0.02
Scot Pollard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00560%0.053-0.1000%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00430%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Reggie Miller-0.070,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.08-0.120.031660%-0.0700.008100%0.07
Austin Croshere-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00350%-0.002-0.062100%0.01
Al Harrington-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.02643%0.015-0.112100%0.01
Fred Jones-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.01237%-0.052-0.05475%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.240,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.2,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24-0.14-0.100.001550%0.026-0.26862%-0.06

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01582%0.0700.001100%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.000.05-0.02747%0.0600.001100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.04-0.021161%0.113-0.06683%0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.01825%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0020%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,-0.05,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.012153%0.014-0.11956%-0.01
Juan Dixon0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00840%-0.042-0.054100%0.03
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.090.001252%-0.073-0.085100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.629.215.831.40.833.5136.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +33.6%
WAS -2.8%
IND +43.8%
WAS -22.9%
WAS -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDWASNBAINDWASNBA
this game16.615.315.7106.795.6100.5
season16.715.2101.196.4
opponent15.315.7102.494.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.916.817.217.416.6
WAS16.416.712.316.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Miller55550.89-0.391.280.3618-92717.015.91.1015.415.00.41
Jamaal Tinsley55560.85-0.351.200.3517-82517.015.91.0515.614.80.82
Al Harrington65650.72-0.220.940.4011-21317.015.31.7115.414.90.55
Jeff Foster62630.63-0.130.770.4372517.015.51.5815.315.3-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal71730.55-0.050.600.2610-11116.616.50.0415.115.9-0.77
Austin Croshere1918-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-110-1116.516.6-0.0415.915.10.77
Scot Pollard2424-0.150.65-0.80-0.1509-915.217.0-1.7815.515.20.31
Jonathan Bender2729-0.210.71-0.92-0.15-211-1315.816.9-1.1115.015.4-0.35
Anthony Johnson3535-0.350.85-1.20-0.11-817-2515.917.0-1.0514.815.6-0.82
Fred Jones3737-0.380.88-1.27-0.18-716-2315.717.2-1.4914.815.6-0.78

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon62620.16-0.660.820.044-131714.616.7-2.1316.417.0-0.59
Jarvis Hayes32330.03-0.530.560.09-2-7515.515.20.3017.516.01.47
Brendan Haywood5959-0.00-0.500.49-0.279-182713.518.5-5.0217.614.63.01
Jared Jeffries87-0.14-0.360.220.03-6-3-324.514.410.1115.916.6-0.76
Steve Blake1615-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-4-119.214.44.8217.216.40.77
Gilbert Arenas7776-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-5114.221.0-6.7716.516.7-0.19
Kwame Brown8686-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.26-5-4-114.725.4-10.7116.518.2-1.77
Etan Thomas2826-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-145-1918.513.94.6115.017.2-2.19
Jerry Stackhouse6664-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-101-1115.714.21.5415.718.7-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, SAC 830.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,092.6%
CHI 106, BOS 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.75,0.37,0.23,0.03,091.4%
PHI 112, WAS 1060.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.05,090.4%