NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	8.6 [191]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +36.0%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	5.8 [147]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -19.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.36	0.15	0.22	0.01	16	70%	0.42	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.06
Chris Duhon	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	55%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Andres Nocioni	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	10	40%	-0.06
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	18	50%	0.11	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Eddie Basden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	11	29%	-0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.18	-0.01	0.03	21	72%	0.29	6	-0.16	18	78%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	73%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.15	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	11	41%	-0.07	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	29.2	15.6	27.3	2.8	40.0	145.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.0%

CHI +1.0%

CHI +23.6%

CHI +23.9%

BOS -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.6	101.9	102.0	104.4
season	14.4	14.8		102.6	103.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		104.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.9	15.7	15.6	12.7	13.8
BOS	13.9	15.7	15.0	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	74	72	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.42	20	-16	36	13.0	15.7	-2.63	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Andres Nocioni	58	56	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.60	0	4	-4	14.0	13.6	0.42	14.7	14.2	0.48
Tyson Chandler	86	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	3	-2	14.0	12.7	1.30	14.6	13.8	0.82
Ben Gordon	54	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	2	0	13.1	14.6	-1.47	14.5	14.4	0.14
Kirk Hinrich	87	86	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	6	-8	14.2	11.6	2.57	13.9	17.6	-3.71
Chris Duhon	62	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-1	6	13.7	13.9	-0.14	14.6	14.2	0.42
Othella Harrington	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	-1	6	12.4	14.4	-2.06	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Michael Sweetney	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	7	-10	15.5	13.1	2.35	15.7	13.9	1.75
Eddie Basden	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	16.0	13.4	2.60	16.2	14.1	2.06
Darius Songaila	21	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	7	-10	13.4	13.9	-0.52	13.5	14.7	-1.13

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	27	30	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-6	8	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.7	13.4	1.27
Kendrick Perkins	38	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-6	8	14.3	14.5	-0.17	13.6	13.9	-0.33
Raef LaFrentz	46	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-1	-2	14.4	14.5	-0.11	13.8	13.8	0.04
Orien Greene	30	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-2	0	16.2	13.7	2.45	15.2	13.2	2.01
Brian Scalabrine	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	2	-8	11.6	14.7	-3.07	8.9	14.2	-5.30
Mark Blount	58	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-8	12	14.5	14.4	0.16	13.9	13.7	0.15
Paul Pierce	88	91	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-7	10	14.3	15.7	-1.48	13.9	13.1	0.82
Delonte West	72	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	13.7	16.4	-2.70	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Justin Reed	48	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.44	-6	2	-8	14.5	14.4	0.18	13.6	14.0	-0.33
Ricky Davis	85	88	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.50	-9	5	-14	14.7	13.0	1.71	13.9	13.5	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.75,0.37,0.23,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.36,0.06,0.05,0	92.4%
LAL 90, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,0	92.0%
IND 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.4%