NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	90		Excitement	4.5 [934]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +23.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.0 [955]		LVP	Othella Harrington (CHA): -22.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean May	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	16	54%	0.15	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	11	66%	0.04	1	-0.01	10	50%	-0.04
Matt Carroll	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	10	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	14	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	4	25%	-0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.06	-0.03	24	68%	0.32	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	16	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Matt Freije	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	8	37%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	27.9	14.8	28.0	1.8	33.3	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +50.6%

ATL +2.8%

CHA -6.3%

CHA -1.9%

ATL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	17.5	15.4	97.8	110.0	104.5
season	15.7	16.1		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.8	17.7	12.8	14.0	14.2
ATL	16.7	16.6	16.5	20.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-13	17	12.3	15.0	-2.70	15.7	18.2	-2.51
Othella Harrington	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-19	29	15.6	13.6	1.96	19.2	16.7	2.52
Derek Anderson	38	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-22	35	13.0	15.1	-2.10	19.0	16.4	2.63
Bernard Robinson	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-9	9	17.5	13.8	3.69	16.4	17.6	-1.22
Matt Carroll	36	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-11	13	12.9	15.1	-2.16	17.7	17.4	0.35
Sean May	73	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-14	19	13.7	16.1	-2.33	18.0	15.6	2.41
Gerald Wallace	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	4	-17	14.1	14.2	-0.09	17.6	17.4	0.12
Raymond Felton	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	14.6	12.7	1.85	17.2	18.9	-1.70
Brevin Knight	66	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	13.4	16.2	-2.71	17.0	18.6	-1.59
Emeka Okafor	36	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.26	-28	19	-47	15.2	13.6	1.67	16.1	18.3	-2.24
Adam Morrison	51	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.16	-25	16	-41	16.1	11.9	4.20	17.6	17.3	0.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	78	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.11	28	-19	47	17.7	16.1	1.61	14.8	10.3	4.45
Josh Smith	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-7	23	17.1	19.1	-2.00	14.6	12.3	2.35
Salim Stoudamire	44	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	9	-9	18.2	16.8	1.38	13.1	15.4	-2.26
Solomon Jones	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	17.0	17.8	-0.80	14.6	13.9	0.74
Speedy Claxton	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	3	3	16.5	18.5	-2.02	14.7	13.8	0.91
Shelden Williams	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-1	11	17.5	17.4	0.13	15.0	13.4	1.67
Zaza Pachulia	58	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	18.0	16.6	1.42	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Tyronn Lue	65	67	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.40	-10	19	-29	17.8	16.8	0.99	13.2	16.9	-3.73
Cedric Bozeman	2	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	19.5	17.4	2.07	20.0	14.1	5.86
Matt Freije	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	11.0	17.6	-6.63	12.0	14.2	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 87, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	94.8%
MIL 87, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%
DEN 103, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%