NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	87		Excitement	4.9 [847]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +31.9%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.0 [566]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -11.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01	0.14	-0.08	0.05	20	67%	0.14	3	-0.13	5	80%	0.02
MarShon Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	16	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	19	36%	-0.08	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.11	0.03	22	68%	0.32	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.12	-0.05	19	62%	0.27	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	0.01	-0.05	10	25%	-0.08	3	-0.04	8	37%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.8	29.1	17.7	23.1	2.5	45.2	144.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.5%

TOR +14.4%

TOR +7.3%

BKN -2.5%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.4	98.9	101.1	104.1
season	16.5	16.1		106.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.4	16.5	16.7	13.2	15.6
TOR	17.0	14.2	19.2	15.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.4	0.94	20.2	15.3	4.85
Jerry Stackhouse	34	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.2	15.8	-0.61	17.6	15.6	2.03
Andray Blatche	49	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.42	10	-16	26	13.9	17.7	-3.75	17.5	15.2	2.25
MarShon Brooks	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	3	-12	18.0	15.3	2.66	16.0	16.4	-0.44
CJ Watson	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-8	10	13.9	17.1	-3.25	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Reggie Evans	54	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	16.4	14.2	2.24	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Keith Bogans	43	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	17.1	14.1	3.05	16.4	16.4	0.09
Deron Williams	72	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-8	10	15.6	15.6	-0.06	16.2	17.2	-0.95
Joe Johnson	66	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	1	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.3	19.8	-4.49
Brook Lopez	53	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	5	-16	16.1	14.9	1.20	15.0	18.6	-3.58

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	67	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-9	24	15.6	18.5	-2.85	16.0	14.3	1.79
Rudy Gay	82	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	0	6	15.7	21.8	-6.06	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Kyle Lowry	72	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-1	8	15.6	19.3	-3.77	15.9	14.5	1.40
DeMar DeRozan	81	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	5	-4	16.3	17.0	-0.68	15.7	14.5	1.22
Amir Johnson	73	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	9	-12	17.0	14.3	2.70	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Alan Anderson	23	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-1	8	17.8	15.9	1.84	15.1	15.7	-0.65
Quincy Acy	42	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	8	-10	17.4	15.6	1.76	15.2	15.9	-0.74
John Lucas III	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	19.3	15.6	3.77	14.5	15.9	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1	94.8%
UTA 89, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	93.8%
POR 97, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	93.5%