inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 89 Excitement4.8 [866] MVPMatt Carroll (CHA): +14.8%
Charlotte Bobcats 101 Comeback1.1 [936] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -9.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.030.02970%0.152-0.04989%0.02
Paul Millsap0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.01360%0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Derek Fisher0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01769%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Gordan Giricek0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafael Araujo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01571%0.054-0.08475%-0.01
Ronnie Brewer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.01743%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.011950%-0.023-0.03667%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Deron Williams-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.011542%-0.023-0.08650%-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.150.150.110.060.02780%0.172-0.026100%0.02
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.010.021270%0.122-0.06650%-0.04
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01963%0.061-0.0210%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.051636%0.0100.00757%-0.03
Brevin Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.01647%0.011-0.013100%0.01
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.01312%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.03-0.031939%-0.042-0.04887%0.00
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03633%-0.014-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.430.415.630.42.635.6143.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +7.1%
CHA +10.0%
CHA +15.2%
CHA +15.1%
CHA +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTACHANBAUTACHANBA
this game14.715.915.494.7107.4104.5
season15.915.7107.4101.7
opponent15.015.0105.6104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.915.613.514.014.7
CHA16.913.816.017.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordan Giricek11110.01-0.510.51-0.083-151814.914.70.2217.915.72.25
Rafael Araujo33-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-10813.014.8-1.7716.315.90.42
Dee Brown77-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-8415.614.60.9315.416.0-0.54
Derek Fisher5352-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-131414.714.8-0.0816.315.50.77
Mehmet Okur6767-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-121214.615.1-0.5615.517.0-1.51
Paul Millsap3838-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-121214.814.60.2216.715.41.27
Jarron Collins1312-0.26-0.24-0.010.10-120-1213.914.8-0.9216.315.90.47
Ronnie Brewer1312-0.26-0.24-0.010.10-120-1213.914.8-0.9216.315.90.47
Andrei Kirilenko7273-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.20-3-9614.914.00.8715.616.9-1.26
Deron Williams7576-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.13-7-5-214.914.00.8916.015.80.18
Matt Harpring4646-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-153-1814.514.9-0.3315.716.1-0.37
Carlos Boozer7273-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-9-3-614.814.50.2815.616.9-1.26

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton88880.460.040.430.141111015.818.2-2.3914.911.33.61
Gerald Wallace77760.410.090.320.1593615.816.6-0.8814.714.60.19
Emeka Okafor73730.410.090.320.12102816.015.50.5215.312.72.63
Brevin Knight35370.340.160.19-0.0413-11416.715.51.2114.914.60.30
Primoz Brezec65650.330.170.170.1666016.514.71.8414.615.0-0.42
Matt Carroll35350.240.26-0.020.0666016.215.80.4413.815.3-1.50
Jake Voskuhl36360.170.33-0.16-0.0166015.216.4-1.2313.915.2-1.29
Othella Harrington14140.090.41-0.320.03210-814.616.1-1.5114.314.8-0.50
Adam Morrison47460.040.46-0.410.13-315-1815.716.1-0.4514.814.60.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 106, CHA 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,195.1%
POR 97, SAS 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,195.0%
PHX 109, DAL 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%