NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	5.5 [752]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +39.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.0 [1160]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -9.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Roberts	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	86%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	16	44%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.4	0.40	0.20	0.21	0.01	10	87%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	4	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.03	12	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	21	35%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	28.4	15.6	23.4	2.7	37.2	137.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.7%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +0.0%

MEM -6.5%

CLE +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.4	109.3	109.0	104.5
season	15.1	16.0		105.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.6	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	18.0	14.3	16.7	16.4
CLE	18.1	14.1	16.3	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.51	16	-19	35	15.4	17.2	-1.81	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Kyle Lowry	23	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-7	11	16.0	16.6	-0.54	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Dahntay Jones	50	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-17	31	15.6	17.6	-2.01	16.4	16.6	-0.26
Lawrence Roberts	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.50	14	-17	31	16.6	16.4	0.20	17.0	16.1	0.87
Jake Tsakalidis	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	5	-13	15.5	16.5	-1.01	20.7	16.2	4.50
Damon Stoudamire	48	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.48	9	-12	21	17.2	15.4	1.83	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Stromile Swift	44	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	6	-15	16.5	16.4	0.07	15.6	17.5	-1.97
Rudy Gay	29	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	13	-29	17.6	15.9	1.73	17.8	15.7	2.14
Chucky Atkins	42	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	9	-21	16.0	16.8	-0.82	16.7	16.2	0.46
Hakim Warrick	44	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	19	-41	17.0	15.9	1.14	16.6	16.3	0.33
Mike Miller	72	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	16.6	15.7	0.87	16.5	16.2	0.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	47	44	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	18.5	14.2	4.32	16.4	16.5	-0.07
LeBron James	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	16.6	15.1	1.55	15.8	21.0	-5.16
Eric Snow	60	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	1	1	17.0	15.3	1.77	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Drew Gooden	56	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	-2	7	17.8	14.2	3.69	15.7	17.6	-1.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-11	25	17.1	15.8	1.34	17.2	15.7	1.58
Damon Jones	59	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	15.6	18.2	-2.66	16.9	15.5	1.45
Donyell Marshall	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	6	-9	14.4	18.0	-3.67	16.4	16.5	-0.08
Sasha Pavlovic	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	3	-3	14.1	17.6	-3.45	16.7	16.3	0.43
Shannon Brown	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	3	-3	16.8	16.4	0.34	21.3	15.9	5.46
Anderson Varejao	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	10	-17	14.2	17.3	-3.10	16.7	16.3	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.84,0.96,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.93,1,1	94.3%
GSW 95, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	93.7%
DEN 114, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%