NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	5.3 [766]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +32.0%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1213]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -16.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.21	0.15	0.04	9	96%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	18	42%	0.01	7	-0.12	9	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	16	43%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.04	0.04	10	91%	0.27	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.00	16	68%	0.23	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.05	0.05	14	82%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	2	90%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	3	30%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	22%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	27.7	15.4	30.4	2.5	36.4	142.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.5%

IND +9.9%

GSW -5.6%

IND +4.7%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.6	99.0	109.2	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		102.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	15.9	13.6	14.1	14.4
IND	14.0	16.1	14.6	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	63	62	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-22	32	13.7	16.0	-2.32	16.0	13.8	2.22
Monta Ellis	26	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-17	22	13.8	14.7	-0.88	16.3	14.8	1.47
Calbert Cheaney	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	15.0	14.4	0.58	15.6	15.2	0.38
Adonal Foyle	48	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-2	-8	15.3	13.6	1.69	15.6	14.9	0.74
Ike Diogu	23	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	2	-16	16.6	13.8	2.78	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Derek Fisher	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-10	8	13.5	15.5	-2.06	15.6	14.8	0.86
Andris Biedrins	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-9	6	13.5	15.2	-1.74	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Baron Davis	70	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	1	-14	15.0	13.0	2.04	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Jason Richardson	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	4	-20	14.5	13.9	0.61	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Mickael Pietrus	71	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	6	-24	14.7	13.6	1.09	15.2	15.4	-0.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.07	27	-15	42	15.3	15.0	0.24	15.0	12.3	2.65
Jeff Foster	63	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-13	38	13.9	17.7	-3.77	15.1	13.3	1.83
Anthony Johnson	71	67	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.04	21	-9	30	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.4	12.3	3.01
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-5	22	14.8	17.1	-2.26	14.5	14.0	0.54
Scot Pollard	41	40	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	-12	36	13.7	16.4	-2.67	16.1	13.3	2.79
Fred Jones	61	60	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	25	-38	16.1	13.8	2.37	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Eddie Gill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	8.0	15.4	-7.39	16.5	14.4	2.10
Sarunas Jasikevicius	27	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.19	-9	21	-30	15.0	15.3	-0.32	12.4	15.3	-2.90
David Harrison	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	21	-30	19.2	13.8	5.39	13.1	14.9	-1.83
Danny Granger	44	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.40	-23	35	-58	16.0	14.6	1.47	12.8	15.6	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 95, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,1	94.9%
DEN 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%