NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	77		Excitement	4.8 [835]		MVP	Chris Andersen (DEN): +7.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Chris Whitney (DEN): -16.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	80%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	-0.00	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.19	-0.04	-0.06	15	31%	-0.07	4	-0.10	5	20%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	21	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	8	12%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	12	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	31.9	15.7	24.3	0.3	29.8	125.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.7%

MIN +3.8%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +21.1%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.5	81.9	88.3	101.6
season	15.7	14.9		90.4	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		102.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	18.1	13.4	16.3	16.1	15.8
MIN	12.6	12.8	17.2	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.23	9	-15	24	14.5	16.4	-1.90	16.9	13.9	3.02
Chris Andersen	44	45	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.53	19	-25	44	13.6	17.8	-4.12	17.0	12.8	4.12
Nene	57	56	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.55	19	-25	44	14.1	18.5	-4.38	15.7	13.4	2.28
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	59	57	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.56	19	-25	44	13.7	19.5	-5.78	15.7	13.5	2.22
Kenny Satterfield	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-12	18	15.2	16.2	-1.00	15.5	14.4	1.13
Mark Blount	36	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	17	-40	18.5	14.2	4.37	13.6	15.6	-1.91
Chris Whitney	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	6	-18	16.2	15.2	1.00	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Ryan Bowen	34	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.24	-25	19	-44	19.7	13.6	6.07	13.2	15.8	-2.56
James Posey	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	9	-24	16.3	14.6	1.69	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Donnell Harvey	51	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.19	-27	21	-48	17.7	13.6	4.19	12.7	17.2	-4.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	14.6	15.8	-1.18	16.0	14.6	1.48
Loren Woods	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-11	28	13.8	16.3	-2.44	15.9	15.7	0.19
Anthony Peeler	58	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	14.9	14.6	0.27	16.0	15.5	0.53
Troy Hudson	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	2	2	14.9	14.5	0.35	16.2	14.4	1.77
Marc Jackson	21	21	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	1	4	13.5	15.2	-1.72	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Rod Strickland	19	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	4	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.35	14.4	16.2	-1.77
Rasho Nesterovic	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.3	13.3	1.98	16.4	14.2	2.18
Gary Trent	47	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.36	-11	17	-28	15.8	13.9	1.91	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Kendall Gill	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	9	-12	14.6	14.9	-0.27	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Reggie Slater	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	16.8	14.6	2.18	13.1	16.1	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.5%
SAC 119, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.3%
MIA 80, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,0.98,0.91,1	94.9%