NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	4.8 [868]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +20.9%
Boston Celtics	128		Comeback	1.2 [1171]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -10.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	79%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	47%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	16	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	25	53%	-0.03	5	-0.08	8	75%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.03	-0.00	16	74%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	13	81%	0.16	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	81%	0.14	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	18	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	58%	0.05	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	25.3	15.4	27.0	1.8	28.3	124.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +58.0%

BOS +0.4%

BOS +8.5%

SAC -19.4%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	13.5	13.0	14.9	110.2	117.4	105.1
season	13.9	13.9		104.8	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.6		101.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	14.5	14.4	13.2	13.5
BOS	10.8	14.3	15.0	12.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	60	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.46	16	-25	41	14.0	12.9	1.06	13.8	11.9	1.87
Kosta Koufos	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-15	21	13.0	13.9	-0.89	13.1	13.0	0.08
Quincy Acy	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	19.8	13.2	6.68	14.2	13.0	1.22
Seth Curry	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	11.1	13.8	-2.68	11.9	13.1	-1.23
Omri Casspi	67	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-9	9	12.9	14.5	-1.63	12.7	13.6	-0.96
James Anderson	41	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	5	-19	14.1	13.2	0.88	13.7	12.6	1.09
Willie Cauley-Stein	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	6	-21	13.8	13.2	0.60	13.8	12.3	1.58
Rajon Rondo	90	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	13.3	14.4	-1.10	12.6	15.1	-2.53
Marco Belinelli	87	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	2	-13	13.2	14.8	-1.59	12.5	15.3	-2.87
DeMarcus Cousins	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.12	-14	5	-19	13.9	12.6	1.33	12.9	13.2	-0.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-7	23	13.3	12.4	0.92	14.0	12.5	1.55
Jae Crowder	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-2	13	12.3	14.5	-2.20	13.0	14.6	-1.63
Isaiah Thomas	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-2	13	12.5	13.8	-1.28	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Jared Sullinger	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	13.0	13.0	0.04	12.9	14.1	-1.26
Amir Johnson	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-4	17	12.2	13.6	-1.35	12.9	14.0	-1.05
Tyler Zeller	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	3	3	14.2	12.2	2.07	15.0	12.5	2.52
Marcus Smart	65	64	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	8	-7	12.6	13.7	-1.07	13.7	13.3	0.39
Evan Turner	60	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	13	-17	13.3	12.6	0.70	13.8	13.2	0.68
Jonas Jerebko	25	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	16	-23	13.4	12.9	0.55	13.0	13.7	-0.66
Kelly Olynyk	37	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	21	-33	14.2	12.4	1.77	13.9	13.3	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	95.3%
NJN 91, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 96, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.9%