NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	3.8 [1020]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +11.7%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	1.0 [1076]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -10.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Werdann	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	24	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lloyd Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Xavier McDaniel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	18	43%	-0.02	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	20	32%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.05	-0.05	14	60%	0.14	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	86%	0.15	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	62%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	87%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	22	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	17	59%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	23.4	16.3	27.5	2.4	33.5	128.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +39.5%

MIA +16.4%

NJN -13.2%

MIA +5.3%

MIA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	15.6	96.8	107.4	104.4
season	15.4	15.8		101.7	103.1
opponent	16.3	14.9		98.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	15.7	16.5	17.7	16.7
MIA	13.8	15.0	17.0	10.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lloyd Daniels	53	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-21	32	17.0	16.3	0.77	12.8	15.6	-2.78
Robert Werdann	17	16	-0.05	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	16.6	16.7	-0.14	14.2	13.9	0.30
Xavier McDaniel	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-11	12	16.6	16.7	-0.12	13.0	14.2	-1.18
Yinka Dare	9	9	-0.11	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-3	-4	17.4	16.6	0.82	14.4	13.9	0.56
Ed O'Bannon	49	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-11	12	16.1	17.4	-1.25	13.4	14.6	-1.19
Shawn Bradley	68	69	-0.32	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-8	6	16.6	16.9	-0.25	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Tony Massenburg	38	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	6	-22	16.6	16.8	-0.25	16.1	12.6	3.49
Kerry Kittles	83	85	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	-0.24	-4	-6	2	16.2	20.4	-4.15	13.7	16.4	-2.77
Kendall Gill	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	17.1	15.4	1.69	14.0	13.9	0.09
Khalid Reeves	58	55	-0.58	0.09	-0.66	0.15	-25	15	-40	17.2	15.8	1.41	14.9	12.5	2.39

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	84	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.05	20	-10	30	13.9	14.3	-0.41	17.1	13.7	3.37
P.J. Brown	78	78	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	0	10	13.9	14.2	-0.38	17.0	15.2	1.83
Keith Askins	87	87	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	13.9	15.0	-1.15	16.6	17.6	-0.94
Dan Majerle	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-7	24	14.6	13.5	1.12	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Alonzo Mourning	76	75	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.15	4	6	-2	13.8	14.5	-0.70	15.8	20.2	-4.33
Voshon Lenard	67	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.34	-6	16	-22	13.8	14.3	-0.56	17.0	16.0	0.92
Mark Strickland	13	13	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	12	-14	12.0	14.2	-2.25	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Ike Austin	26	27	0.08	0.41	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	15.3	13.4	1.95	18.5	16.0	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 80, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 111, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 90, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%