NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	3.5 [1072]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +12.1%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	1.0 [587]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -10.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	5	110%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	21	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Haywoode Workman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	13	47%	0.01	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	-0.02	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	10	76%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	13	62%	0.06	5	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	26.6	15.4	27.4	1.8	29.3	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.0%

NJN +11.4%

MIL -6.2%

NJN +7.7%

NJN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.2	93.8	112.6	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		105.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	14.5	13.7	15.9	14.6
NJN	12.9	13.2	20.6	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Haywoode Workman	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	13.0	14.6	-1.62	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Scott Williams	48	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-16	15	13.7	15.4	-1.77	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Tim Thomas	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-7	-3	14.7	14.5	0.20	17.4	14.1	3.30
J.R. Reid	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-14	11	14.4	14.6	-0.19	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Vinny Del Negro	37	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-12	7	16.1	13.6	2.44	16.3	15.2	1.11
Danny Manning	31	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-6	-5	16.5	13.6	2.95	15.0	15.9	-0.84
Ervin Johnson	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-2	-13	14.7	14.4	0.23	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Ray Allen	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	14.6	14.5	0.06	15.7	14.9	0.88
Sam Cassell	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	0	-17	14.0	16.5	-2.52	15.4	16.5	-1.19
Glenn Robinson	80	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	-3	-11	14.1	16.7	-2.56	15.3	17.2	-1.90

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.21	25	-8	33	15.3	17.4	-2.06	14.8	13.2	1.62
Jamie Feick	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	3	11	16.3	14.4	1.88	14.3	14.9	-0.52
Keith Van Horn	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	3	11	15.6	15.5	0.15	13.8	16.7	-2.93
Kerry Kittles	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	3	11	15.5	15.8	-0.23	13.8	16.4	-2.60
Johnny Newman	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	6	5	16.9	14.3	2.62	15.4	13.7	1.75
Lucious Harris	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	14	-11	15.8	15.5	0.23	16.4	13.8	2.60
Scott Burrell	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	17	-17	16.3	15.1	1.29	15.2	14.0	1.21
Kendall Gill	34	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	13.2	16.9	-3.70	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Jim McIlvaine	30	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	14.0	16.4	-2.40	15.0	14.3	0.62
Gheorghe Muresan	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	13.3	15.7	-2.35	12.0	14.6	-2.63
Elliot Perry	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	25	-33	17.4	15.3	2.06	13.2	14.8	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
NJN 91, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 89, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%