NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	4.5 [942]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +9.6%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -20.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	90%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	20	54%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Donta Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	0.01	26	42%	-0.14	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	19	57%	0.16	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	0.02	-0.08	23	47%	0.04	4	-0.07	14	79%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	14	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	30.2	16.5	25.2	1.7	34.2	138.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.1%

ORL +12.4%

ORL +17.7%

ATL -8.8%

ORL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	15.5	95.0	101.0	104.0
season	15.6	14.3		98.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	12.9	13.2	14.3	13.8
ORL	13.9	13.3	15.6	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	17	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-7	9	12.1	14.2	-2.12	14.9	14.8	0.11
Donta Smith	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-9	13	14.0	13.7	0.38	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Obinna Ekezie	58	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-10	15	13.7	14.0	-0.31	15.6	13.8	1.78
Jason Collier	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	18.0	13.7	4.26	7.0	15.0	-8.00
Kenny Anderson	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	3	-11	13.7	13.9	-0.22	12.5	15.8	-3.32
Tony Delk	80	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-13	21	13.7	14.4	-0.77	15.1	13.8	1.30
Kevin Willis	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	1	-7	14.1	13.6	0.50	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Boris Diaw	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	2	-9	14.0	13.4	0.59	15.2	14.2	0.92
Antoine Walker	93	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	13.8	14.4	-0.60	15.0	12.9	2.13
Josh Childress	79	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.25	-11	6	-17	14.0	13.1	0.93	15.2	13.5	1.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	69	70	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.05	26	-21	47	14.4	15.7	-1.26	15.0	11.1	3.93
Dwight Howard	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	15.3	12.4	2.93	14.1	12.6	1.53
Kelvin Cato	60	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-8	21	14.4	15.4	-0.97	13.9	13.6	0.31
Grant Hill	77	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	0	5	14.1	17.3	-3.20	13.9	13.7	0.19
Hedo Turkoglu	60	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.48	-9	14	-23	15.6	13.7	1.86	13.5	14.3	-0.71
DeShawn Stevenson	15	13	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	0	5	17.5	14.4	3.09	15.2	13.6	1.62
Doug Christie	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	5	-5	15.1	14.4	0.62	13.4	14.6	-1.14
Pat Garrity	12	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	5	-5	10.7	15.4	-4.65	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Tony Battie	45	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.31	-11	16	-27	15.5	14.3	1.26	13.3	14.2	-0.87
Jameer Nelson	15	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	17	-29	13.9	15.0	-1.15	10.1	14.6	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 92, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 111, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%