NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	5.4 [771]		MVP	Jerome James (SEA): +8.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	87		Comeback	1.0 [1285]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -30.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.06	0.03	0.06	0.03	19	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	19	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31	-0.27	-0.08	-0.04	16	9%	-0.24	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.09	-0.09	0.13	-0.05	20	39%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	23	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	590.9	3.6	35.2	-704.2	28.3	2.7	42.3	-1.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +35.0%

SEA +7.3%

SEA +3.1%

SEA +2.6%

SEA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	18.5	15.5	98.8	104.8	104.0
season	14.7	16.5		108.1	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.7	16.2	15.5	15.3	16.2
SEA	16.6	18.1	20.5	19.0	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	17	16	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.00	5	-10	15	16.9	16.0	0.97	16.8	18.9	-2.13
Eddie House	6	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	19.2	15.9	3.23	21.2	18.4	2.84
Greg Ostertag	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.41	12	-17	29	15.7	16.4	-0.68	19.7	17.9	1.84
Darius Songaila	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-9	13	17.2	15.7	1.48	18.9	18.4	0.50
Bobby Jackson	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	17.6	15.3	2.29	16.2	19.8	-3.57
Corliss Williamson	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	2	-9	16.7	16.1	0.68	15.7	19.0	-3.35
Brian Skinner	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	0	-5	16.2	16.1	0.12	20.4	17.2	3.24
Peja Stojakovic	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	16.1	17.2	-1.20	18.9	15.4	3.46
Cuttino Mobley	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.6	18.7	-3.20	19.0	16.3	2.68
Mike Bibby	64	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	4	-13	15.7	17.7	-2.03	18.6	18.3	0.25
Kenny Thomas	57	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.15	-19	14	-33	15.9	16.8	-0.99	17.6	20.9	-3.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	58	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	19.0	17.5	1.50	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Ray Allen	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-3	11	18.3	20.3	-2.01	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Rashard Lewis	50	51	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	19.9	16.5	3.34	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Luke Ridnour	42	44	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-8	21	19.5	17.5	2.06	17.0	15.3	1.72
Reggie Evans	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-3	11	19.5	17.3	2.20	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Antonio Daniels	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	12	-19	17.7	19.9	-2.19	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Damien Wilkins	16	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	0	5	18.3	18.6	-0.27	15.3	16.4	-1.06
Nick Collison	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	9	-13	17.1	19.6	-2.55	16.6	15.8	0.81
Danny Fortson	17	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	8	-11	17.2	18.9	-1.63	18.1	15.7	2.38
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.17	-11	16	-27	16.7	19.3	-2.50	16.9	15.9	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,0.98,0.91,1	95.5%
DEN 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	95.5%
NJN 83, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,1	95.2%