NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	5.3 [732]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (UTA): +8.2%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.0 [377]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -15.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	65%	0.05	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.05
Chris Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Karl Malone	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	26	52%	-0.06	4	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	0.02	-0.16	0.02	15	53%	-0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	78%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.03	8	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	19	54%	0.08	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	20%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	23.8	14.8	31.0	2.5	30.5	131.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.7%

UTA -10.7%

SAC +11.9%

UTA -0.8%

SAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.1	14.7	15.6	105.6	106.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.2		108.1	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.9		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.2	16.5	16.7	16.9	17.1
SAC	10.6	16.2	14.0	19.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	28	27	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-10	18	17.0	17.2	-0.25	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Adam Keefe	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-1	0	17.7	16.7	1.00	12.6	16.6	-4.07
Chris Morris	5	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	16.2	17.2	-0.99	15.7	14.7	1.09
Antoine Carr	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	18.7	16.6	2.11	15.8	14.3	1.50
Bryon Russell	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.56	11	-13	24	16.4	18.5	-2.11	16.2	11.7	4.54
Shandon Anderson	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.47	6	-8	14	16.8	17.4	-0.64	17.8	12.5	5.30
Greg Foster	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	14	-30	18.2	16.4	1.79	11.4	17.0	-5.56
Jeff Hornacek	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	16.6	19.6	-2.95	14.0	18.1	-4.15
Karl Malone	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-3	4	17.2	16.5	0.68	15.0	10.6	4.48
Howard Eisley	62	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	8	-18	17.2	17.0	0.25	14.8	14.5	0.32

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	15.1	12.8	2.27	17.2	16.8	0.41
Billy Owens	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-15	32	13.0	17.7	-4.65	17.5	16.4	1.14
Terry Dehere	60	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-4	10	13.7	16.6	-2.90	17.5	16.5	0.99
Olden Polynice	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	-3	8	13.1	16.7	-3.56	16.7	17.7	-0.91
Lawrence Funderburke	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.46	-7	9	-16	17.2	11.8	5.33	16.8	17.5	-0.65
Corliss Williamson	72	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	5	-8	14.0	17.4	-3.43	17.1	17.4	-0.32
Michael Stewart	40	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	5	-8	16.7	13.1	3.56	17.7	16.7	0.91
Anthony Johnson	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	8	-14	15.5	14.3	1.18	17.2	17.1	0.04
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	7	-12	16.9	14.2	2.68	15.4	17.5	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 108, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	94.7%
DEN 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.6%