NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	5.4 [761]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +16.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.0 [1288]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAL): -9.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.19	-0.01	0.02	18	75%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	65%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	2	33%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Al Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	17	59%	0.08	7	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.01	12	73%	0.17	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	8	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	23	58%	0.20	4	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	5	90%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	45%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	35%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	18	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Derrick Caracter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	33.0	16.7	30.8	1.8	38.0	146.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +1.4%

LAL +6.6%

LAL +22.6%

LAL +16.4%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.5	113.7	122.3	105.7
season	15.1	15.9		100.9	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	13.8	13.6	14.3	14.5
LAL	14.9	17.5	15.3	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	42	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.42	17	-24	41	12.8	15.8	-3.00	17.0	15.1	1.84
Kevin Seraphin	39	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-18	29	13.2	15.4	-2.21	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Kirk Hinrich	42	41	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.29	11	-18	29	13.4	15.4	-1.98	16.7	15.5	1.21
Alonzo Gee	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	1.0	14.6	-13.63	25.0	15.9	9.10
Hilton Armstrong	18	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.4	0.64	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Nick Young	66	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-16	25	13.3	17.3	-4.02	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Al Thornton	28	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	9	-25	17.9	13.1	4.78	15.4	16.3	-0.90
JaVale McGee	40	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	9	-25	15.7	13.6	2.19	16.6	15.6	1.00
Gilbert Arenas	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	5	-17	14.2	15.5	-1.35	15.5	18.0	-2.51
John Wall	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	6	-19	15.4	11.4	4.00	16.1	15.5	0.59
Yi Jianlian	51	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.13	-24	17	-41	15.7	13.1	2.60	15.1	17.0	-1.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	81	81	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.22	19	-12	31	16.2	14.8	1.34	15.4	9.1	6.35
Metta World Peace	76	76	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-9	25	16.0	16.2	-0.21	15.1	12.0	3.11
Kobe Bryant	69	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-13	33	15.6	17.1	-1.47	15.1	13.0	2.05
Derek Fisher	60	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.07	18	-11	29	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.7	14.1	0.60
Lamar Odom	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	1	5	15.6	17.5	-1.97	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Shannon Brown	35	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	18	-29	16.8	15.5	1.27	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Steve Blake	34	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	18	-29	16.4	15.8	0.60	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Matt Barnes	28	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	17	-27	17.2	15.5	1.68	13.4	15.0	-1.54
Derrick Caracter	13	14	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	19	-31	14.8	16.2	-1.34	9.1	15.4	-6.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,1	94.7%
DEN 110, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.6%
ATL 96, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%