NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	4.8 [877]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +32.3%
Boston Celtics	119		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (BOS): -7.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.02	0.05	26	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	17	65%	-0.05
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.04	0.07	11	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	10	56%	0.01	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.26	0.08	0.03	13	94%	0.34	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.05	0.04	17	84%	0.33	6	-0.11	11	91%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	19	70%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	5	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	29.5	15.6	27.2	2.3	42.0	145.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.1%

BOS +10.1%

BOS +4.1%

DEN -11.7%

BOS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BOS	NBA	DEN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	15.4	116.3	122.7	104.5
season	14.0	15.5		105.8	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.4	15.0	14.4	13.4	14.0
BOS	16.6	16.3	14.4	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	29	29	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-17	29	14.9	13.7	1.17	17.5	14.7	2.82
Yakhouba Diawara	38	37	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	15.7	13.0	2.77	17.0	14.6	2.42
Linas Kleiza	17	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-8	11	15.1	13.8	1.30	16.8	15.2	1.60
Reggie Evans	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-4	3	13.9	14.1	-0.15	17.2	15.3	1.89
Earl Boykins	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-13	21	15.0	12.9	2.13	17.0	13.8	3.22
J.R. Smith	60	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	12.7	16.1	-3.37	14.6	16.9	-2.37
Eduardo Najera	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	4	-13	13.6	14.4	-0.81	14.5	16.4	-1.95
Carmelo Anthony	91	90	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	13.8	17.6	-3.80	15.2	19.0	-3.77
Andre Miller	76	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	9	-23	13.9	14.5	-0.59	14.9	17.8	-2.88
Marcus Camby	69	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	12	-29	13.7	14.9	-1.17	14.7	17.5	-2.82

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-6	17	14.7	17.5	-2.82	13.2	15.9	-2.63
Paul Pierce	83	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-5	15	15.1	17.9	-2.75	13.5	17.3	-3.77
Al Jefferson	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-6	17	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.2	13.2	0.93
Tony Allen	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.5	0.0	15.51	14.0	0.0	14.04
Wally Szczerbiak	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.47	-7	12	-19	15.7	15.1	0.62	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	-7	19	15.1	15.7	-0.62	14.1	14.0	0.04
Leon Powe	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	18.4	15.2	3.23	14.7	14.0	0.77
Gerald Green	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	10	-15	17.9	15.1	2.75	17.3	13.5	3.77
Delonte West	32	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	14	-23	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.2	13.5	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.7%
MIA 76, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	94.5%
UTA 96, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.95,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.5%