NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	81		Excitement	5.6 [697]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): +13.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	1.2 [928]		LVP	Anthony Randolph (GSW): -21.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.03	6	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	11	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	14	40%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.02	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	10	27%	-0.07	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.08	-0.03	5	75%	0.16	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.03	22	49%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	13	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	25.3	14.7	26.1	1.6	28.0	121.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -10.5%

PHI +8.6%

PHI +28.5%

PHI +16.8%

PHI +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	18.2	15.5	90.0	96.7	106.4
season	13.8	15.5		107.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.0		105.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	11.5	12.7	14.5	13.4
PHI	16.8	17.3	17.3	22.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	23	25	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-18	28	13.5	13.3	0.21	22.1	16.8	5.34
Anthony Randolph	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-8	8	12.3	15.1	-2.81	18.8	17.4	1.38
Ronny Turiaf	40	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	13.3	13.4	-0.03	18.0	18.4	-0.33
CJ Watson	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	12.6	14.4	-1.78	16.6	20.2	-3.64
Corey Maggette	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	13.3	13.4	-0.05	16.5	20.6	-4.10
Anthony Morrow	40	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.0	12.9	1.09	20.1	16.6	3.54
Andris Biedrins	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	3	-14	13.9	12.5	1.34	17.8	19.0	-1.22
Stephen Jackson	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	13.5	12.5	0.94	18.8	14.2	4.58
Kelenna Azubuike	52	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	10	-28	14.1	12.4	1.64	17.3	19.5	-2.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-4	16	18.1	18.8	-0.66	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Samuel Dalembert	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-5	18	18.7	16.9	1.82	14.4	10.7	3.72
Andre Miller	68	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	18.0	18.7	-0.71	13.9	11.6	2.35
Andre Iguodala	53	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	19.5	16.5	3.02	13.9	12.6	1.31
Thaddeus Young	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-2	12	18.2	18.4	-0.21	14.3	11.3	3.02
Kareem Rush	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	8	-8	17.0	18.6	-1.57	10.6	14.2	-3.56
Lou Williams	32	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	9	-10	17.6	18.6	-1.02	13.0	13.6	-0.59
Marreese Speights	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	11	-14	16.6	18.9	-2.30	12.2	13.8	-1.62
Willie Green	41	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	16	-24	18.1	18.3	-0.24	11.8	14.5	-2.69
Reggie Evans	17	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	14	-20	19.3	18.0	1.31	11.3	13.7	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.84,0.96,0.95,1	94.3%
BOS 102, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.47,0.67,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.95,1	94.2%
LAC 93, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.7%