NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +14.7%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.3 [1241]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -18.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.21	-0.02	0.09	19	76%	0.15	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Anthony Avent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	82%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Keith Closs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Jeff McInnis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	19	55%	0.01	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	12	33%	-0.04	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	11	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	13	85%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	13	85%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	57%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	9	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	28.1	15.5	31.4	2.5	32.2	135.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.9%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +24.3%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.2	101.1	110.9	101.7
season	15.6	16.3		95.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.3		100.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	16.7	15.6	15.3	15.9
UTA	15.4	16.8	13.2	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	30	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-20	31	15.5	16.1	-0.63	16.1	15.1	0.98
Charles R. Jones	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	15.7	15.9	-0.19	19.2	14.9	4.28
Keith Closs	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-3	-3	16.4	15.6	0.83	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Anthony Avent	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	0	-9	17.1	15.1	1.91	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Jeff McInnis	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-1	-7	15.2	16.2	-0.97	16.1	15.1	0.94
Michael Olowokandi	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	15.6	16.4	-0.83	16.1	14.2	1.96
Eric Piatkowski	85	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	15.7	18.1	-2.44	15.6	12.5	3.12
Etdrick Bohannon	26	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	2	-13	14.8	16.3	-1.56	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Lamar Odom	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	16.4	14.2	2.14	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Tyrone Nesby	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	15.9	15.7	0.19	14.9	19.2	-4.28

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-8	25	14.7	16.6	-1.92	16.3	15.2	1.13
Karl Malone	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-7	23	14.9	16.4	-1.47	16.2	15.4	0.81
Howard Eisley	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	0	9	16.0	13.9	2.10	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Bryon Russell	70	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.22	2	7	-5	15.0	16.7	-1.73	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Greg Ostertag	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	7	-5	16.1	14.6	1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Olden Polynice	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	14.6	16.1	-1.56	16.2	15.6	0.64
Scott Padgett	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	2	5	16.8	15.1	1.77	16.7	15.7	0.96
Quincy Lewis	10	10	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	5	-1	14.8	15.5	-0.69	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Jacque Vaughn	11	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	6	-3	18.5	15.0	3.56	18.0	15.6	2.42
Jeff Hornacek	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	9	-9	13.9	16.0	-2.10	16.9	15.5	1.44
Armen Gilliam	31	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	16	-23	16.4	14.9	1.47	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Adam Keefe	18	17	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	24	-39	16.3	15.2	1.14	12.8	16.6	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.93,1,1	93.7%
WAS 88, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.96,1	93.6%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%