NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	5.1 [799]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +13.1%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	1.2 [1120]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -26.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	6	83%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	14	28%	-0.14	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.04	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	48%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	53%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	17	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	11	50%	-0.00	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	25.9	14.7	21.5	1.8	33.4	123.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +48.8%

WAS -3.0%

WAS -5.9%

UTA +11.5%

WAS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	15.4	88.9	92.0	104.1
season	15.1	16.0		98.8	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	14.6	14.8	11.6	14.2
UTA	12.4	14.8	15.8	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	36	35	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-9	14	12.9	14.9	-2.03	15.0	14.7	0.37
A.J. Price	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-9	14	15.3	13.3	2.05	15.4	14.3	1.06
Bradley Beal	51	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-11	18	15.4	12.9	2.48	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Kevin Seraphin	43	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-4	4	12.9	15.1	-2.24	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Trevor Ariza	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	0	-4	13.3	14.5	-1.14	15.4	14.5	0.88
Martell Webster	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-4	4	14.5	13.3	1.14	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Nene	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.1	12.9	2.24	15.2	14.2	1.00
Jordan Crawford	48	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	7	-18	12.9	15.4	-2.48	14.9	14.7	0.18
John Wall	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	5	-14	13.3	15.3	-2.05	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Emeka Okafor	63	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	14.9	12.9	2.03	14.7	15.0	-0.37

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	14.5	15.5	-0.97	14.5	13.3	1.16
Jamaal Tinsley	72	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	1	2	14.8	14.7	0.06	14.5	13.2	1.30
Paul Millsap	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	4	-4	14.5	15.3	-0.81	14.3	13.8	0.50
Al Jefferson	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	4	-4	14.9	14.5	0.36	14.2	14.0	0.27
Gordon Hayward	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.33	1	3	-2	15.2	14.1	1.15	13.1	15.7	-2.60
DeMarre Carroll	22	21	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	-6	16	15.4	14.6	0.79	14.1	14.2	-0.01
Marvin Williams	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	1	2	14.1	15.2	-1.15	15.7	13.1	2.60
Derrick Favors	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-1	6	14.5	15.0	-0.52	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Earl Watson	28	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	3	-2	14.7	14.8	-0.06	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Enes Kanter	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	1	2	15.8	14.5	1.29	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Alec Burks	8	7	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	18	-32	15.6	14.7	0.91	10.9	14.4	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.9,1	94.1%
MIL 111, CHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,0.98,1	93.8%
NJN 83, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,1	93.7%