NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	5.7 [637]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (SAC): +15.8%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.2 [819]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -18.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roy Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.03	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	15	39%	-0.16	1	-0.02	16	75%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	14	75%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	17	51%	0.05	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	15	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	10	50%	-0.04
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	30.4	15.4	28.5	2.3	42.7	145.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.9%

SAC +14.8%

SAC +0.6%

BOS -3.0%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	16.7	15.6	104.2	107.4	102.5
season	15.1	15.2		100.2	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.5	16.7	12.1	14.7	13.7
SAC	15.1	14.6	19.2	18.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Rogers	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	15.0	13.6	1.37	23.3	16.4	6.90
Greg Minor	19	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-4	5	15.6	13.2	2.39	20.7	15.5	5.15
Andrew DeClercq	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-9	15	13.6	13.8	-0.18	17.9	14.9	3.02
Bruce Bowen	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-2	1	12.2	15.8	-3.54	15.6	18.2	-2.59
Tyus Edney	42	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	2	-7	12.1	14.9	-2.81	17.8	15.7	2.13
Dana Barros	53	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-5	7	14.9	12.1	2.81	15.7	17.8	-2.13
Walter McCarty	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-3	3	13.4	14.1	-0.66	16.4	17.1	-0.67
Ron Mercer	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-8	13	14.1	12.5	1.65	16.3	17.5	-1.25
Travis Knight	40	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	10	-23	12.8	14.3	-1.49	14.1	18.5	-4.41
Antoine Walker	75	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	8	-19	14.5	10.5	4.01	17.0	15.4	1.63

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	66	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-11	25	17.4	15.0	2.33	14.6	11.6	2.99
Mitch Richmond	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	17.1	14.8	2.35	13.3	14.9	-1.63
Corliss Williamson	65	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	3	-3	17.7	14.3	3.39	14.0	12.9	1.05
Billy Owens	55	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-7	17	17.6	15.4	2.21	14.1	13.0	1.15
Olden Polynice	33	32	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-3	9	14.8	17.6	-2.76	15.6	12.7	2.86
Michael Stewart	62	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	7	-11	17.6	14.8	2.76	12.7	15.6	-2.86
Mark Hendrickson	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	2	-1	14.0	18.1	-4.09	12.5	14.3	-1.85
Michael Smith	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	8	-13	15.8	17.2	-1.41	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Terry Dehere	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	14.8	17.1	-2.35	14.9	13.3	1.63
Bobby Hurley	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	14	-25	15.0	17.4	-2.33	11.6	14.6	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, DEN 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.7%
ATL 84, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.5%
UTA 89, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	94.3%