NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Excitement	6.0 [627]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +9.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.4 [974]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -25.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	8	52%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	17	36%	-0.01	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.05	0.05	24	60%	0.18	4	-0.09	14	79%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	8	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	3	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.06	6	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	8%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	28.4	15.7	32.2	2.6	27.2	136.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +16.6%

CLE +5.1%

CLE +15.0%

CLE +13.2%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	17.0	15.4	81.7	100.0	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		101.9	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.8	16.6	13.6	13.7	14.2
CLE	16.5	16.1	17.9	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-19	22	16.8	13.5	3.37	16.0	17.2	-1.25
Randy Foye	16	17	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-17	18	15.0	14.0	1.01	19.0	16.5	2.47
Mike James	60	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-12	8	14.3	13.9	0.34	17.3	16.3	1.04
Trenton Hassell	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-10	4	14.0	14.4	-0.38	17.2	16.5	0.68
Mark Blount	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	2	-20	15.0	13.5	1.56	16.5	17.3	-0.82
Ricky Davis	63	61	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-3	-10	14.4	13.7	0.68	16.2	18.5	-2.30
Craig Smith	54	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-6	-4	13.0	15.7	-2.73	17.9	15.9	1.96
Kevin Garnett	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-9	2	13.8	15.4	-1.58	16.9	17.4	-0.50
Troy Hudson	33	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	13.9	14.3	-0.34	16.3	17.3	-1.04
Marko Jaric	42	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-2	-12	13.7	14.5	-0.86	17.0	17.0	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	53	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	17.1	16.8	0.34	13.7	14.9	-1.17
Damon Jones	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.01	14	2	12	17.7	16.0	1.69	12.9	16.0	-3.05
LeBron James	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	4	8	16.8	18.1	-1.27	13.9	15.4	-1.41
Sasha Pavlovic	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	17.2	16.8	0.37	14.3	14.0	0.22
David Wesley	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	5	6	16.9	17.1	-0.20	15.4	12.8	2.59
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	3	10	17.2	16.8	0.33	16.6	12.2	4.42
Donyell Marshall	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	10	-4	17.4	16.5	0.90	12.3	16.3	-4.07
Eric Snow	41	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	16	-16	15.8	17.9	-2.09	15.5	13.2	2.31
Shannon Brown	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	22.0	16.9	5.12	8.7	14.3	-5.68
Daniel Gibson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	22.0	16.9	5.12	8.7	14.3	-5.68
Drew Gooden	41	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	19	-22	16.1	17.7	-1.56	14.6	13.8	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.0%
LAC 81, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 114, NOP 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%