NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Excitement	8.3 [272]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +14.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	118		Comeback	1.4 [582]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -16.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	17	66%	0.24	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	18	63%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.06
Terrance Ferguson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Jerami Grant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	6	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	16	54%	0.03	7	-0.19	5	40%	-0.04

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.04	0.05	32	59%	0.23	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.08
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	77%	0.18	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.12
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	21	43%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.4	25.4	14.5	30.7	2.8	40.9	147.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -5.6%

NOP +16.1%

NOP +30.7%

NOP +6.3%

NOP +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOP	NBA	OKC	NOP	NBA
this game	12.5	14.2	14.3	105.6	109.3	109.3
season	12.9	13.4		108.9	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.9		111.5	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.3	14.8	12.4	10.5	12.5
NOP	16.0	12.4	13.8	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	53	55	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-13	22	12.4	12.5	-0.08	16.5	11.9	4.60
Nerlens Noel	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-2	0	12.7	12.4	0.37	11.2	15.2	-4.00
Alex Abrines	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-4	4	12.5	12.4	0.05	11.7	15.4	-3.70
Hamidou Diallo	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	15.5	12.0	3.51	9.0	14.9	-5.93
Patrick Patterson	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	2	-8	12.3	12.6	-0.30	11.7	16.0	-4.33
Dennis Schroder	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	12.1	13.2	-1.00	13.7	15.4	-1.74
Russell Westbrook	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-4	4	12.2	13.2	-1.02	15.2	11.0	4.23
Steven Adams	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	12.4	12.7	-0.37	15.2	11.2	4.00
Terrance Ferguson	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	7	-18	13.2	11.9	1.29	15.1	13.6	1.50
Paul George	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-3	2	12.2	13.3	-1.12	15.0	11.9	3.15

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	89	88	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	14.5	12.9	1.54	12.6	12.0	0.56
Tim Frazier	79	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-1	6	15.0	12.0	2.98	12.6	12.2	0.42
Julius Randle	73	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-11	26	13.1	16.5	-3.36	12.9	11.3	1.62
Frank Jackson	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-5	14	12.5	15.4	-2.92	13.3	11.9	1.46
Jrue Holiday	79	81	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	1	2	13.9	15.2	-1.31	12.0	13.8	-1.81
Darius Miller	54	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	3	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.65	12.4	12.5	-0.15
Solomon Hill	73	74	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	6	-8	15.0	12.6	2.43	12.4	12.5	-0.02
Cheick Diallo	35	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	13	-22	14.7	14.0	0.66	11.4	12.9	-1.49
Andrew Harrison	13	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	13	-22	17.4	13.8	3.61	11.1	12.6	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.9%
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	93.7%
MIN 76, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%