NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	7.7 [309]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +36.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	9.9 [120]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -20.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	16	46%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	8	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.12,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	0.09	-0.09	0.02	15	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.37	0.37	-0.04	0.40	-0.01	11	42%	0.41	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.08	0.03	8	100%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.23,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.03	17	37%	-0.12	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.08
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	17	49%	-0.03	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	25.1	15.5	24.3	2.4	32.7	126.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.8%

MIN -4.8%

POR +28.9%

POR +1.7%

POR +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	18.0	15.4	101.2	103.5	104.5
season	15.4	16.7		101.9	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.8	16.6	16.4	18.4	15.9
POR	18.0	16.9	19.6	17.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	47	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.47	16	-18	34	15.3	16.7	-1.46	18.8	16.9	1.97
Mike James	66	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.42	10	-12	22	15.5	17.5	-2.02	18.7	15.4	3.21
Kevin Garnett	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-14	26	16.4	14.7	1.73	19.0	15.3	3.60
Trenton Hassell	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-13	24	15.5	16.7	-1.21	18.6	16.6	2.03
Randy Foye	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	10	-22	16.3	15.8	0.52	15.3	18.6	-3.29
Ricky Davis	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-9	16	16.2	15.2	0.98	18.6	16.4	2.17
Troy Hudson	16	16	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	8	-18	16.5	15.8	0.73	15.7	18.5	-2.82
Eddie Griffin	20	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	14	-30	15.4	16.0	-0.60	15.4	18.7	-3.29
Marko Jaric	38	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	10	-22	16.4	15.5	0.98	16.8	18.9	-2.02
Craig Smith	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	14	-30	16.1	15.7	0.47	16.7	19.2	-2.50

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	44	45	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-10	22	17.8	18.1	-0.33	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Martell Webster	55	55	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-7	16	16.9	19.9	-3.02	16.0	15.8	0.22
Travis Outlaw	58	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-4	10	17.4	19.1	-1.66	15.6	16.4	-0.77
Brandon Roy	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.57	-8	10	-18	18.4	15.5	2.88	16.1	14.7	1.35
Zach Randolph	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	1	0	18.8	15.5	3.26	16.4	14.5	1.84
Jamaal Magloire	35	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	10	-18	16.9	18.7	-1.76	14.2	17.2	-3.09
Ime Udoka	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	2	-2	18.3	17.4	0.95	16.9	14.3	2.57
Jarrett Jack	45	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	4	-6	18.6	17.2	1.42	16.1	15.7	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 102, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.16,1	90.9%
PHI 79, MEM 82	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.13,1	89.7%
DET 83, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.27,1	89.5%