NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	79		Excitement	8.7 [125]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +12.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	82		Comeback	10.3 [131]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -40.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zendon Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	6	53%	0.11	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.06
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.08	-0.12	0.01	12	76%	0.13	3	-0.18	5	100%	0.04
Kenny Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	17	51%	0.02	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.28	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28	-0.19	-0.11	-0.02	15	31%	-0.19	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.4	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	5	30%	-0.18	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.13	0.13	-0.08	0.20	-0.01	8	43%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	9	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	0.00	19	49%	-0.25	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	31.0	15.7	25.3	2.4	43.3	144.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.7%

PHI -18.6%

MEM +7.5%

MEM +27.6%

MEM +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.7	84.0	87.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.5	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	17.7	18.1	15.3	15.9
MEM	16.6	14.3	13.2	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	34	33	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.12	2	-5	7	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.3	14.4	0.85
Samuel Dalembert	51	53	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.18	-2	-1	-1	15.5	16.4	-0.97	14.8	14.6	0.16
Derrick Coleman	10	9	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	20.3	15.4	4.91	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Willie Green	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	18.3	15.3	3.01	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Eric Snow	83	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.7	17.8	-2.16	14.8	14.3	0.51
Aaron McKie	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	15.1	19.2	-4.09	14.7	14.6	0.12
Allen Iverson	86	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.6	19.0	-3.37	14.8	14.4	0.31
Kenny Thomas	88	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.44	-7	4	-11	15.8	17.0	-1.16	14.8	13.7	1.13
Kyle Korver	23	24	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.68	-2	-1	-1	17.5	15.4	2.07	14.1	14.9	-0.80

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	58	59	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.33	18	-15	33	14.4	15.3	-0.94	16.5	14.9	1.69
Earl Watson	42	43	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.48	9	-6	15	14.6	14.8	-0.15	15.3	16.4	-1.13
Shane Battier	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	1	1	15.7	13.1	2.61	15.7	16.3	-0.63
James Posey	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	14.1	16.3	-2.26	16.5	14.6	1.86
Pau Gasol	68	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	8	-13	15.0	14.0	0.95	16.0	15.6	0.47
Stromile Swift	30	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	-1	5	16.0	14.1	1.87	15.1	16.3	-1.12
Troy Bell	12	13	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-2	7	12.9	15.0	-2.07	17.2	15.7	1.44
Jake Tsakalidis	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	12.7	15.4	-2.63	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Theron Smith	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	15.5	14.6	0.93	12.7	16.4	-3.72
Jason Williams	52	51	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	9	-15	14.8	14.6	0.15	16.4	15.3	1.13
Bonzi Wells	49	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	14	-25	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.6	16.2	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.13,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.42,1	91.0%
BOS 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1	90.1%
DAL 103, BOS 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	89.7%