NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	8.1 [190]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +62.7%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	8.5 [64]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	8	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.11	-0.00	6	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	25	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	15	60%	-0.05
Horace Grant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.17	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	28	51%	-0.08	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.46,0.63	0.63	0.18	0.46	0.01	19	70%	0.63	0	0.00	9	100%	0.09
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.28	0.28	-0.01	0.27	-0.01	12	55%	0.30	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.07	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	32.4	20.4	28.4	2.7	41.1	155.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.3%

IND +4.8%

LAL -10.2%

LAL -6.6%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.5	123.9	123.6	100.9
season	15.6	15.9		106.8	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		99.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	17.4	15.0	18.9	16.0
IND	15.9	16.1	16.3	18.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	14	15	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.04	13	-14	27	15.4	16.1	-0.72	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Greg Foster	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	19.2	15.9	3.37	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Rick Fox	57	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-6	11	15.6	16.9	-1.29	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Tyronn Lue	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	12	-25	16.8	15.1	1.77	16.3	16.8	-0.47
Horace Grant	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.55	11	-12	23	15.1	17.9	-2.83	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Robert Horry	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	15	-31	18.2	14.9	3.34	16.6	16.5	0.09
Brian Shaw	24	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.60	6	-7	13	16.8	15.7	1.10	16.9	16.4	0.49
Isaiah Rider	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	5	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.84	17.0	16.1	0.83
Shaquille O'Neal	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-2	3	15.7	19.7	-4.09	17.1	11.5	5.64
Kobe Bryant	84	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	2	-5	16.0	15.7	0.30	16.4	18.4	-2.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	17.4	15.0	2.40	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Austin Croshere	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-11	23	16.1	17.0	-0.89	17.6	14.4	3.21
Jalen Rose	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	1	-1	16.8	14.5	2.26	16.3	13.9	2.43
Travis Best	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-13	27	16.1	17.8	-1.71	16.7	13.7	3.02
Reggie Miller	79	77	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	5	-9	16.5	16.9	-0.44	15.8	18.0	-2.25
Al Harrington	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.50	-14	15	-29	16.8	16.4	0.44	14.3	16.9	-2.58
Derrick McKey	5	6	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	-2	5	16.8	16.5	0.31	20.0	15.7	4.26
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.31	-8	9	-17	16.2	17.3	-1.08	15.1	18.9	-3.71
Zan Tabak	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	5	-9	15.7	16.7	-0.94	14.2	16.4	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1	91.0%
PHI 79, MEM 82	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.13,1	91.0%
TOR 104, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.39,0.38,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	90.8%