NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	8.0 [217]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +48.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	24.8 [68]		LVP	Vince Carter (ORL): -41.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.21	-0.01	0.20	-0.02	9	55%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.10	0.21	-0.03	12	41%	0.25	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.05
Eddie House	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.01	14	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.07
Glen Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.05	0.09	-0.14	0.00	12	83%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.37	0.00	13	72%	0.57	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.21	0.01	7	58%	0.34	1	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.16	-0.04	12	56%	0.27	3	-0.09	10	30%	-0.08
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.19	-0.25	-0.02	13	21%	-0.22	3	-0.19	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.3	3.5	35.4	20.8	29.2	0.7	42.5	169.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +18.8%

ORL +10.4%

ORL +44.8%

BOS -26.2%

ORL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.3	106.8	107.9	106.0
season	15.5	15.4		105.7	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		101.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	16.8	17.5	18.7	16.7
ORL	14.4	16.7	14.5	18.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	9	9	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-7	12	12.3	17.2	-4.91	15.9	15.8	0.09
Tony Allen	22	22	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	-1	0	17.4	16.5	0.83	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Glen Davis	30	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.6	0.40	16.0	15.7	0.35
Kendrick Perkins	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-3	4	17.8	16.3	1.50	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Eddie House	23	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	1	-4	19.0	15.9	3.06	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Paul Pierce	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-2	2	16.2	20.7	-4.56	15.3	18.9	-3.65
Kevin Garnett	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	16.6	17.1	-0.59	15.8	15.7	0.13
Rajon Rondo	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.54	0	-2	2	16.4	17.9	-1.54	15.9	15.4	0.53
Ray Allen	74	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.52	-2	0	-2	16.9	16.1	0.79	16.2	13.7	2.48
Rasheed Wallace	48	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	3	-8	16.9	16.6	0.30	16.3	15.2	1.14

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	48	47	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.46	13	-11	24	17.0	14.4	2.68	17.0	16.4	0.56
Jason Williams	36	35	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-7	16	16.6	15.2	1.39	18.1	15.8	2.24
Dwight Howard	55	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-4	10	17.0	13.9	3.02	18.4	13.9	4.45
Vince Carter	54	56	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-2	6	15.4	16.5	-1.07	16.7	16.8	-0.17
Rashard Lewis	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.52	-7	9	-16	15.2	18.0	-2.79	15.6	20.7	-5.10
Marcin Gortat	52	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-2	6	15.4	16.4	-1.07	16.0	17.6	-1.57
Mickael Pietrus	14	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.37	17.9	16.6	1.36
Matt Barnes	45	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	8	-14	14.2	17.5	-3.30	16.8	16.7	0.05
Ryan Anderson	18	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	5	-8	18.2	15.2	2.96	16.5	16.8	-0.33
Jameer Nelson	53	53	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	9	-16	15.2	16.6	-1.39	15.8	18.1	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1	93.1%
UTA 86, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.27,1	92.1%
IND 96, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.27,1	91.8%