NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	7.8 [268]		MVP	Fred Jones (NYK): +29.4%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	17.4 [44]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -20.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.03	13	50%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	5	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.02	6	83%	0.05	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.13	0.08	-0.22	-0.01	23	55%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	4	100%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.1,0.01,-0.09,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	24	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.11
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.14	0.02	16	66%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	2	0%	-0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	32.4	16.4	23.6	2.8	33.3	135.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -0.9%

NYK +0.4%

NYK +48.2%

NYK +2.0%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	16.4	15.4	101.1	107.1	105.7
season	15.8	15.7		103.4	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.5	15.4	17.0	20.1	17.1
NYK	15.6	14.0	19.1	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-2	1	19.0	16.7	2.35	17.4	16.2	1.20
Dan Gadzuric	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-4	5	15.3	17.6	-2.30	12.3	17.6	-5.36
Charlie Bell	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-2	1	15.1	17.4	-2.33	12.0	17.2	-5.22
Charlie Villanueva	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	3	-9	17.1	17.0	0.05	14.1	18.0	-3.89
Royal Ivey	15	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	17.1	17.1	0.01	13.9	16.9	-2.99
Bobby Simmons	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	8	-19	16.4	17.6	-1.17	13.6	18.7	-5.19
Desmond Mason	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.51	7	-10	17	17.2	16.9	0.29	18.1	14.0	4.07
Michael Redd	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.50	3	-6	9	17.2	16.4	0.88	17.0	14.0	3.03
Yi Jianlian	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-7	11	17.4	16.6	0.85	18.6	13.6	5.01
Mo Williams	78	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-3	3	17.2	15.7	1.55	17.1	11.3	5.81
Andrew Bogut	53	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	0	-3	17.2	16.9	0.24	17.7	14.5	3.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	30	31	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.38	18	-15	33	17.2	16.0	1.20	17.7	16.7	1.01
David Lee	20	20	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.54	8	-5	13	16.9	16.3	0.62	17.1	17.0	0.06
Zach Randolph	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	16.8	14.5	2.30	17.3	15.7	1.60
Jamal Crawford	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-4	11	17.0	12.3	4.67	17.3	14.9	2.44
Quentin Richardson	80	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	16.7	11.8	4.91	17.2	15.2	1.97
Jared Jeffries	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	12.3	17.0	-4.67	14.9	17.3	-2.44
Malik Rose	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	12.7	16.8	-4.06	14.7	17.3	-2.54
Renaldo Balkman	32	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	8	-13	14.6	17.5	-2.88	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Eddy Curry	47	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	8	-13	16.9	15.9	1.00	17.3	16.7	0.57
Stephon Marbury	52	52	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.03	-13	16	-29	16.1	16.9	-0.84	16.9	17.3	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.27,1	93.9%
BOS 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1	93.1%
UTA 86, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.27,1	91.9%