inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement8.5 [205] MVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): +74.5%
Boston Celtics 109 Comeback14.9 [181] LVPTerrence Ross (TOR): -14.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.230,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.45,0.23,0.230.170.05-0.022070%0.273-0.04667%-0.14
Lucas Nogueira0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.01483%0.111-0.024100%0.02
Jared Sullinger0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.00862%0.0800.00540%-0.03
Norman Powell0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.01967%0.174-0.1300%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.010.05-0.06-0.00659%-0.0100.00560%-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00175%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Cory Joseph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001038%-0.011-0.0410%-0.01
DeMarre Carroll-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.00837%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.011027%-0.043-0.1020%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.750.750.270.500.032273%0.873-0.131694%0.08
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.060.00367%0.0800.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.07-0.040.130.021339%0.091-0.022100%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.002125%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01644%-0.0300.00667%0.02
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.030.02736%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.020.011142%-0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12-0.120.02-0.14-0.001347%-0.101-0.02475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.835.014.627.32.545.2153.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +1.6%
BOS +31.5%
BOS +18.2%
BOS +10.3%
TOR -11.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game15.814.814.8108.3118.5107.7
season15.214.7110.0110.1
opponent14.914.9108.3106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.114.516.517.115.8
BOS13.116.814.814.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross46450.08-0.580.670.080-5513.717.7-3.9216.413.43.02
Jakob Poeltl1818-0.03-0.470.450.09-4-1-316.415.60.8213.215.2-2.08
Jared Sullinger3029-0.07-0.430.350.16-83-1117.615.02.6512.815.8-2.93
Lucas Nogueira5853-0.08-0.420.34-0.287-121915.016.9-1.9316.412.73.72
Patrick Patterson4240-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-81114.017.1-3.0816.113.92.19
Cory Joseph4443-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-94-1318.013.94.1014.515.1-0.65
Jonas Valanciunas2424-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.11-105-1517.015.41.6812.715.6-2.88
Norman Powell6563-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.440-5515.815.8-0.0414.415.8-1.35
DeMarre Carroll7672-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.40-2-3116.513.03.5114.217.2-3.08
Kyle Lowry7773-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.42-2-3115.317.8-2.5015.213.41.78

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Thomas70770.62-0.120.740.1516-112714.117.3-3.2616.513.03.47
Terry Rozier43460.60-0.100.710.4650515.913.92.0115.416.1-0.75
Marcus Smart65690.450.050.400.218-31115.214.01.1815.815.80.00
Al Horford62640.380.120.260.47-38-1114.615.3-0.7415.516.3-0.80
Jae Crowder68700.330.170.150.44-49-1314.316.4-2.1415.416.7-1.25
Tyler Zeller30320.120.38-0.26-0.128-31115.314.60.7416.315.50.80
Jonas Jerebko36360.100.40-0.31-0.148-31115.114.70.4017.314.92.39
Gerald Green11110.070.43-0.35-0.0132117.114.52.5613.516.1-2.53
Jaylen Brown45450.050.45-0.410.31-914-2315.214.50.6215.216.3-1.18
Amir Johnson3030-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-712-1914.015.2-1.1915.416.0-0.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.39,0.38,0.63,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 88, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,191.8%
TOR 101, CLE 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.58,191.4%
POR 105, BOS 1110.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.58,191.2%