NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	118		Excitement	12.6 [14]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +78.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Comeback	25.9 [63]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -22.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.78	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.78	0.07	0.71	0.01	21	60%	0.93	4	-0.14	8	62%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.17	-0.01	8	68%	0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Primoz Brezec	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Matt Carroll	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Burleson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	49%	0.11	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	17	46%	-0.07	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.67	0.67	0.07	0.61	0.01	21	57%	0.85	5	-0.18	23	70%	-0.06
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.12	0.48	0.01	11	73%	0.62	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.12
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.17	0.00	5	120%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.18	0.01	15	54%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.11	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.15	0.01	10	50%	-0.07	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	26.1	15.4	26.5	2.7	45.8	1.8	22.3	169.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +98.1%

CHA -16.2%

CHA -16.5%

CHA -24.9%

CLE +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	16.5	15.6	113.5	116.5	104.4
season	14.8	16.2		100.5	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.1	12.7	14.9	14.6	13.5	14.2
CLE	14.9	16.8	15.1	19.7	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	50	54	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.19	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.6	1.29	17.1	15.9	1.23
Kevin Burleson	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	4	-10	14.3	14.2	0.14	13.0	17.1	-4.08
Lonny Baxter	18	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	13.2	14.4	-1.20	14.8	16.9	-2.04
Kareem Rush	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	6	-14	12.4	14.4	-1.99	11.7	16.9	-5.16
Matt Carroll	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-3	4	14.4	14.1	0.27	16.7	16.4	0.26
Jumaine Jones	99	99	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.1	17.2	-3.14	16.7	11.7	4.97
Bernard Robinson	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.42	3	-5	8	14.5	13.7	0.83	17.2	15.2	2.01
Jake Voskuhl	52	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-3	4	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.8	17.2	-1.37
Raymond Felton	89	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.54	4	-6	10	14.2	14.3	-0.14	17.1	13.0	4.08
Alan Anderson	78	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.61	-3	1	-4	14.3	13.9	0.44	16.5	16.7	-0.26

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	47	47	1.14	-0.64	1.79	0.79	12	-10	22	15.0	17.8	-2.76	13.1	15.1	-2.06
Donyell Marshall	47	50	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.69	5	-3	8	15.9	17.0	-1.12	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	61	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.60	8	-6	14	17.7	14.9	2.77	14.9	13.2	1.71
LeBron James	96	97	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	16.4	18.3	-1.89	14.7	7.6	7.12
Ronald Murray	90	91	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	6	-10	17.2	12.1	5.09	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Anderson Varejao	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.21	-2	4	-6	15.8	16.9	-1.16	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Sasha Pavlovic	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	18.3	16.4	1.89	7.6	14.7	-7.12
Drew Gooden	57	56	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.22	1	1	0	16.5	16.6	-0.11	14.4	14.0	0.47
Ira Newble	1	1	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	-0.35	-5	7	-12	20.0	16.5	3.51	16.0	14.2	1.81
Eric Snow	72	72	-0.61	1.11	-1.71	-0.40	-7	9	-16	16.5	16.5	-0.03	14.9	12.7	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 114, ORL 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.92,1	89.3%
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	88.4%
DEN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.23,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.77,1	88.2%