inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement12.7 [10] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +95.9%
Toronto Raptors 98 Comeback21.9 [74] LVPMorris Peterson (TOR): -23.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Bowen0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.330.020.320.001100%0.3300.0000%0.00
George McCloud0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.24-0.030.26-0.00847%0.281-0.04367%-0.01
Nick Van Exel0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,0.09,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.21-0.060.26-0.012452%0.476-0.264100%0.06
Shawnelle Scott0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01386%0.021-0.0110%-0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00955%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Scott Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.001157%0.032-0.07667%0.00
James Posey-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.011035%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.0030%-0.152-0.0600%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.220,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22-0.09-0.14-0.011938%-0.121-0.10450%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.15,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.960.96-0.000.95-0.013056%1.074-0.111587%0.27
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.150.15-0.030.16-0.011550%0.252-0.104100%0.07
Dell Curry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.02769%0.021-0.04250%-0.02
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.07-0.0250%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.12-0.001041%-0.131-0.04250%-0.03
Keon Clark0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.02-0.18-0.001550%-0.112-0.082100%0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.17-0.08-0.0167%-0.163-0.08250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.82.325.515.722.02.438.81.814.7148.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -28.1%
TOR +53.2%
TOR +18.1%
TOR +14.9%
DEN -8.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game16.515.315.696.098.0102.3
season16.116.299.7100.3
opponent15.615.2100.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN16.417.216.014.720.916.5
TOR14.914.117.516.012.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Johnson56570.54-1.041.570.482-4617.115.71.3614.516.4-1.94
Scott Williams48480.30-0.801.100.068-101815.317.6-2.3015.615.00.56
George McCloud5455-0.04-0.460.430.05-31-417.115.81.2314.716.0-1.25
Voshon Lenard4545-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-3416.216.8-0.6416.314.51.78
Shawnelle Scott1313-0.13-0.370.250.05-64-1018.016.31.7114.315.4-1.13
Nick Van Exel9191-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.495-71216.021.2-5.1815.711.04.71
Raef LaFrentz7777-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.23-42-616.915.01.9015.414.80.66
James Posey7878-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-20-216.616.30.2515.215.7-0.56
Ryan Bowen87-0.790.29-1.08-0.821-3413.216.8-3.5417.915.12.76
Calbert Cheaney3029-1.150.65-1.80-0.80-1210-2217.216.20.9914.415.6-1.23

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy Murray22211.13-0.631.760.8410-81814.115.6-1.4816.816.40.38
Alvin Williams79790.64-0.140.790.505-3815.514.31.2116.815.41.37
Hakeem Olajuwon42410.56-0.060.630.65-35-815.015.5-0.4616.816.30.50
Vince Carter96960.54-0.040.580.453-1415.315.5-0.2216.419.2-2.85
Chris Childs53550.400.100.290.3420214.915.7-0.7417.215.71.49
Eric Montross18170.040.46-0.43-0.0220215.315.3-0.0115.916.6-0.69
Morris Peterson5050-0.190.69-0.880.04-810-1815.814.80.9815.117.9-2.82
Jerome Williams7473-0.240.74-0.97-0.447-51214.816.8-2.0016.815.80.95
Keon Clark6668-0.761.26-2.03-0.44-1113-2416.013.82.2216.416.7-0.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.23,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.77,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.58,189.4%
ATL 94, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.74,188.5%
CHA 118, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.72,188.2%