NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	6.9 [452]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +27.3%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.7 [879]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -21.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	9	61%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.09	-0.02	0.11	0.00	10	59%	0.19	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	11	69%	0.10	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	24	46%	0.03	7	-0.24	4	100%	0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.12	-0.00	15	74%	0.35	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	22	48%	0.14	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.18	0.07	-0.01	12	21%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	28.2	15.5	28.0	1.8	32.1	129.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -12.4%

NJN +22.1%

NJN +6.5%

NJN +33.2%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	94.7	98.9	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		106.2	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	15.3	14.3	15.5	14.9
NJN	15.3	16.0	14.5	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.09	3	-6	9	15.5	14.7	0.82	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Ronny Turiaf	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	14.6	14.9	-0.36	16.9	15.8	1.03
Jim Jackson	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	16.1	14.8	1.33	11.9	16.3	-4.44
Andrew Bynum	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	16.9	14.5	2.38	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Kwame Brown	62	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-3	3	14.7	15.4	-0.71	16.0	15.7	0.36
Brian Cook	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	2	-7	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Luke Walton	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.2	15.2	0.99
Lamar Odom	86	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.8	16.1	-1.33	16.3	11.9	4.44
Kobe Bryant	89	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.10	15.7	18.3	-2.60
Smush Parker	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	2	-7	14.7	15.7	-0.94	16.2	14.4	1.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Vince Carter	78	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	15.6	17.3	-1.71	15.3	12.0	3.33
Nenad Krstic	74	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	15.6	17.3	-1.71	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Richard Jefferson	80	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	6	-9	15.7	16.9	-1.19	14.4	17.9	-3.47
Jason Collins	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	2	-1	15.1	17.1	-1.94	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Clifford Robinson	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	4	-5	17.6	14.5	3.04	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jacque Vaughn	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	4	-5	16.9	15.3	1.56	15.0	14.8	0.19
Zoran Planinic	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-1	5	15.6	15.9	-0.38	18.2	14.5	3.69
Lamond Murray	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	17.0	15.7	1.29	17.4	14.5	2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1	92.7%
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.7%
HOU 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.84,1	92.6%