NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	8.1 [236]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +36.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	1.8 [850]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -28.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	13	77%	0.27	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.02	0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
Ike Austin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	1	50%	-0.04	1	-0.05	6	33%	-0.09
Jahidi White	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	53%	-0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29	-0.16	-0.12	0.01	14	44%	-0.11	6	-0.18	6	50%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.20	0.00	7	107%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	11	82%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	17	82%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	7	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	9	12%	-0.20	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	7	12%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	25.6	15.4	24.5	2.3	45.9	142.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -16.5%

CLE +20.3%

CLE +9.8%

CLE +34.5%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.2	111.3	113.1	101.7
season	15.5	14.1		101.1	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.8		101.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	15.2	19.0	13.3	15.8
CLE	15.2	14.1	11.8	13.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-10	16	15.4	16.1	-0.64	14.4	13.1	1.39
Laron Profit	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	1	-6	16.7	15.6	1.10	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	77	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-9	14	15.3	17.7	-2.41	13.7	13.1	0.60
Rod Strickland	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-6	8	15.6	16.3	-0.70	12.6	15.6	-2.97
Ike Austin	31	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	7	-18	17.5	15.0	2.59	15.0	13.0	2.02
Tracy Murray	82	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.4	17.9	-2.54	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Aaron Williams	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.2	1.43	14.4	13.0	1.39
Chris Whitney	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	3	-10	15.5	16.1	-0.62	13.4	13.8	-0.38
Juwan Howard	88	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	16.0	14.1	1.84	13.4	16.3	-2.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-4	12	13.5	13.7	-0.21	15.9	15.6	0.32
Danny Ferry	56	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-5	14	14.1	13.0	1.19	15.8	15.7	0.11
Shawn Kemp	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	4	-4	13.4	14.1	-0.74	16.1	15.1	0.98
Wesley Person	45	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	1	2	13.6	13.6	-0.05	14.7	16.7	-1.93
Mark Bryant	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-2	8	15.3	12.5	2.81	16.6	15.2	1.35
Andre Miller	40	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	0	4	12.8	14.2	-1.30	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Brevin Knight	59	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	4	-4	14.2	12.8	1.30	16.0	15.4	0.55
Bob Sura	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	5	-6	12.8	14.8	-2.01	15.8	15.7	0.12
Lamond Murray	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	9	-14	13.3	13.8	-0.49	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Ryan Stack	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	12.4	13.7	-1.29	10.3	16.1	-5.81
Andrew DeClercq	22	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	8	-12	13.4	13.7	-0.34	17.3	15.3	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	93.2%
LAL 89, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.95,1	92.7%
CHA 96, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.6%