NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	7.8 [273]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +37.1%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	2.0 [673]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -27.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	11	81%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	65%	0.27	5	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	15	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Randy Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	8	67%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Matt Maloney	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.17	-0.12	-0.01	12	52%	-0.02	8	-0.26	7	57%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.37	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	16	70%	0.40	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.09
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	17	38%	-0.08	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	4	53%	-0.04	4	-0.12	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	26.5	17.4	25.6	2.4	49.2	150.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.4%

HOU -14.8%

NYK +20.4%

NYK +29.0%

HOU -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.6	101.1	105.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.1		107.2	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	16.3	15.2	12.8	15.2
NYK	14.2	13.1	16.1	18.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-5	6	4.0	15.4	-11.41	1.0	15.6	-14.62
Sam Mack	29	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	16.4	14.6	1.85	12.6	17.0	-4.36
Othella Harrington	28	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	15.6	15.0	0.67	12.9	16.7	-3.82
Brent Price	2	2	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	18.0	15.1	2.89	8.5	15.6	-7.12
Matt Maloney	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Randy Livingston	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-4	4	14.4	16.1	-1.74	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Mario Elie	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	14.8	17.3	-2.48	16.0	12.2	3.82
Hakeem Olajuwon	83	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.4	13.5	1.94	16.3	10.4	5.90
Clyde Drexler	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	5	-14	15.8	13.5	2.32	16.6	12.7	3.87
Kevin Willis	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	15.0	15.7	-0.64	15.8	14.0	1.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	72	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	15.9	14.0	1.98	14.5	17.0	-2.55
Chris Childs	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.12	12	-8	20	14.6	17.7	-3.08	16.0	13.4	2.54
Charles Oakley	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	16.2	11.5	4.76	15.4	13.6	1.79
Larry Johnson	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-4	12	16.0	14.3	1.76	15.6	14.2	1.47
Charlie Ward	45	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.13	14.5	15.9	-1.36
John Starks	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	5	-6	14.3	17.3	-2.97	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Allan Houston	74	75	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	8	-12	16.2	12.8	3.39	14.9	16.1	-1.17
John Wallace	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	4	-4	11.0	16.1	-5.12	17.9	14.7	3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, CHH 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,1	93.3%
TOR 79, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.3%
SAC 98, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.68,0.86,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%