NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	110		Excitement	8.2 [234]		MVP	Kareem Rush (CHA): +45.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	4.5 [206]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -20.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.42,0.46	0.27	0.20	0.01	14	93%	0.46	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Gerald Wallace	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	8	62%	0.22	1	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Primoz Brezec	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.03	14	66%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	18	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	12	38%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Melvin Ely	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	10	36%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	76%	0.16	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.07	0.02	14	66%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.12
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	14	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	-0.00	20	48%	-0.01	2	-0.19	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	23.8	15.8	24.2	2.4	37.5	131.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +6.8%

CHA +7.8%

CHA +13.5%

CHA +22.4%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	POR	NBA	CHA	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.6	123.6	116.5	104.4
season	14.8	16.6		100.5	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		109.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.5	18.4	17.9	12.8	16.4
POR	15.3	16.8	15.7	14.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	57	59	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.33	16	-12	28	14.5	19.7	-5.17	14.1	18.3	-4.23
Raymond Felton	65	66	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-5	14	16.7	15.5	1.18	14.7	18.1	-3.41
Matt Carroll	47	47	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-7	18	14.2	18.9	-4.64	16.0	15.1	0.91
Kareem Rush	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	2	0	15.3	18.5	-3.29	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Brevin Knight	72	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.49	-5	9	-14	16.7	15.1	1.66	15.8	14.6	1.25
Melvin Ely	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-1	6	17.8	15.3	2.53	16.5	14.8	1.70
Jumaine Jones	68	70	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	12	-20	17.6	12.4	5.27	16.0	14.4	1.59
Primoz Brezec	38	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	14	-24	18.8	14.6	4.21	17.0	14.6	2.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	15.8	15.4	0.43	17.9	14.9	2.98
Ha Seung-Jin	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	3	-10	18.1	15.4	2.76	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Jarrett Jack	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	2	-8	17.4	14.5	2.91	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Sebastian Telfair	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	17.3	14.7	2.56	16.2	16.5	-0.37
Martell Webster	35	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	15.7	15.5	0.18	13.9	17.8	-3.90
Ruben Patterson	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-6	8	16.2	14.6	1.67	17.0	15.5	1.51
Juan Dixon	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-9	14	14.7	17.3	-2.56	16.5	16.2	0.37
Darius Miles	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	15.1	17.9	-2.80	16.7	14.9	1.77
Steve Blake	55	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-6	8	14.5	17.4	-2.91	16.7	15.9	0.77
Travis Outlaw	54	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.8	17.3	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.62,0.75,0.63,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	90.9%
LAC 102, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.45,0.31,0	90.8%
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,0	90.7%