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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Excitement9.1 [104] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +30.1%
Denver Nuggets 107 Comeback4.4 [155] LVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): -20.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.300,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22,0.30.100.220.021957%0.341-0.04683%-0.02
Derek Fisher0.200,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.20.100.10-0.001167%0.231-0.03887%0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.140.050.001281%0.252-0.06250%-0.05
Andrew Bynum0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.060.001100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.02650%0.071-0.0700%0.00
Javaris Crittenton0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00735%-0.001-0.03367%-0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00150%0.011-0.05475%0.00
Sasha Vujacic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00433%-0.001-0.031100%0.01
Luke Walton-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.09-0.06844%-0.003-0.0920%-0.09
Lamar Odom-0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.090.011547%-0.084-0.09633%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.100.090.004100%0.2000.002100%0.02
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.25-0.050.042771%0.435-0.261883%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00440%0.021-0.042100%0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01827%-0.071-0.02633%-0.12
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.0130%-0.081-0.0220%-0.05
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.012349%-0.025-0.11786%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.09-0.011027%-0.022-0.18683%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.431.419.532.63.741.2158.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +55.9%
DEN -15.1%
LAL +8.4%
LAL +1.5%
DEN -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.113.915.4107.8103.9105.7
season14.613.3110.6108.2
opponent15.215.2105.4104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL12.816.813.213.614.1
DEN14.912.513.414.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom74750.83-0.331.160.5410-61614.114.10.0114.013.50.48
Vladimir Radmanovic53520.75-0.250.990.4510-61613.514.7-1.2913.614.2-0.66
Andrew Bynum56560.70-0.200.900.3213-92213.914.3-0.3714.113.70.41
Kobe Bryant65660.66-0.160.820.399-51414.213.80.4614.213.40.75
Derek Fisher72730.54-0.040.580.5113-213.914.6-0.7213.614.5-0.87
Javaris Crittenton01-0.050.55-0.600.01-26-80.014.1-14.084.014.0-9.98
Sasha Vujacic2221-0.070.57-0.65-0.02-26-815.413.71.6914.113.80.27
Jordan Farmar4745-0.070.57-0.65-0.1322013.614.5-0.9614.013.80.25
Trevor Ariza2625-0.150.65-0.80-0.09-26-813.514.3-0.7714.713.61.05
Chris Mihm4747-0.200.70-0.900.07-913-2214.313.90.3713.714.1-0.41
Luke Walton5354-0.430.93-1.35-0.13-1014-2415.013.11.8613.614.1-0.49

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera50510.22-0.720.940.075-91413.014.7-1.6813.714.4-0.66
Anthony Carter49510.03-0.530.56-0.032-6813.714.1-0.4014.114.10.04
Linas Kleiza13140.01-0.510.530.010-4412.714.1-1.3617.113.63.55
Carmelo Anthony9695-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-4413.913.60.3314.113.70.36
Allen Iverson103103-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-413.90.013.8814.10.014.08
Kenyon Martin7170-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-51-614.712.22.5115.211.83.41
J.R. Smith4846-0.650.15-0.79-0.35-106-1614.413.50.9213.114.9-1.83
Marcus Camby8585-0.660.16-0.82-0.43-84-1213.714.6-0.8113.417.4-4.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 87, IND 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,091.7%
BKN 88, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.67,0.08,091.4%
OKC 117, PHX 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.47,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.16,090.8%