NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	9.7 [94]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +26.6%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	4.0 [236]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -21.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.17	-0.00	8	67%	0.27	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Al Harrington	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.12	-0.02	0.14	0.00	17	45%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.16	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Esteban Batista	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
John Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.00	5	54%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.18
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.1,-0.09	-0.17	0.06	-0.01	24	32%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.01	21	62%	0.28	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	71%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.15,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	15	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	0.00	14	36%	-0.01	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	30.2	16.4	31.5	2.3	40.5	150.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.2%

IND -21.2%

ATL +52.0%

IND -13.3%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	95.6	93.4	104.4
season	15.6	16.0		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	15.8	17.6	14.8	15.8
IND	19.1	14.2	15.1	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.45	4	-2	6	15.7	16.2	-0.48	16.6	13.7	2.92
Josh Smith	43	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	16.3	15.4	0.97	16.7	15.1	1.59
Joe Johnson	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	15.8	15.5	0.34	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Josh Childress	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.3	17.2	-1.86	14.8	18.6	-3.76
Salim Stoudamire	59	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	4	-6	15.3	16.7	-1.44	14.9	17.7	-2.84
Tyronn Lue	34	35	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	-1	4	16.8	15.2	1.61	17.1	15.0	2.12
Marvin Williams	24	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	15.1	16.1	-0.99	15.0	16.1	-1.12
Zaza Pachulia	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	-4	10	15.9	15.7	0.15	17.4	14.5	2.92
Esteban Batista	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	3	-4	17.2	15.6	1.65	13.9	16.2	-2.25
John Edwards	25	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	8	-14	16.2	15.7	0.48	14.9	16.2	-1.30

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	29	30	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.17	6	-8	14	14.4	16.5	-2.04	16.8	15.3	1.52
Danny Granger	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	3	-8	15.6	15.9	-0.23	13.6	16.4	-2.81
David Harrison	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	16.0	15.8	0.19	16.0	15.8	0.22
Fred Jones	56	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.8	14.4	2.42
Jermaine O'Neal	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-4	6	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Austin Croshere	77	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-3	4	15.9	15.4	0.48	16.2	14.1	2.09
Sarunas Jasikevicius	57	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.9	-1.62	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Jamaal Tinsley	65	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	16.3	14.7	1.65	15.5	16.6	-1.07
Stephen Jackson	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.52	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.3	0.82	15.5	16.6	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 117, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.47,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.16,0	92.1%
BKN 88, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.67,0.08,0	91.8%
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,0	91.7%