inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Brooklyn Nets 88 Excitement7.9 [273] MVPMarcus Thornton (BKN): +46.7%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback2.2 [321] LVPDeron Williams (BKN): -22.2%


Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.47,0.470.110.360.008100%0.553-0.0800%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.210.050.170.00667%0.2100.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.05-0.01874%0.233-0.123100%0.02
Mirza Teletovic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.00-0.02865%0.1000.001100%0.00
Joe Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.020.05-0.010.021756%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Alan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.03-0.01644%0.042-0.05425%-0.04
Shaun Livingston-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00633%-0.033-0.1100%0.00
Deron Williams-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.10-0.13-0.00936%-0.153-0.07425%-0.17

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.090.090.090.000.001663%0.163-0.071479%0.04
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00560%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00560%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.00956%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.04-0.02764%0.102-0.1100%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00844%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00450%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.011341%-0.022-0.08367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.53.432.519.425.23.727.7136.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BKN +84.4%
MIA -26.3%
BKN +3.2%
MIA -10.8%
MIA -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBKNMIANBABKNMIANBA
this game17.016.515.1102.3101.2105.2
season15.715.6105.1109.7
opponent15.815.5105.1106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BKN17.316.616.817.217.0
MIA16.215.417.517.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Thornton50500.70-0.200.910.478-71516.617.4-0.7816.616.40.18
Deron Williams62620.62-0.120.740.417-61316.917.2-0.3416.117.7-1.64
Paul Pierce59580.59-0.090.690.484-3717.416.01.4616.017.5-1.50
Mason Plumlee55550.55-0.050.600.5210117.216.50.6516.017.5-1.55
Joe Johnson59590.54-0.040.570.482-1317.216.50.6516.117.4-1.34
Andrei Kirilenko1919-0.010.51-0.52-0.0101-115.917.3-1.3116.716.50.27
Mirza Teletovic3940-0.140.64-0.77-0.05-34-716.417.4-0.9717.915.32.57
Shaun Livingston4950-0.170.67-0.830.07-89-1717.616.21.4117.615.12.48
Alan Anderson3837-0.190.69-0.89-0.02-67-1316.417.4-0.9316.516.6-0.11

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norris Cole45440.16-0.660.820.102-3516.516.5-0.0316.717.2-0.49
Chris Andersen35350.15-0.650.800.063-4716.016.9-0.9316.117.6-1.53
Shane Battier37370.08-0.580.660.022-3516.016.9-0.8717.216.80.35
Toney Douglas42420.02-0.520.54-0.011-2316.916.20.6517.516.50.95
Chris Bosh6364-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-4717.015.31.6617.415.81.54
Ray Allen4243-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.522-3515.217.7-2.5116.117.8-1.70
LeBron James6767-0.550.05-0.61-0.49-21-316.118.1-2.0317.017.0-0.04
Rashard Lewis4949-0.580.08-0.66-0.49-32-516.916.00.8716.817.2-0.35
Mario Chalmers5049-0.980.48-1.46-0.60-1312-2517.814.82.9517.716.11.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.67,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 87, IND 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,091.8%
LAL 111, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,091.4%
OKC 117, PHX 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.47,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.16,089.9%