NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	9.0 [120]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +48.3%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	3.0 [204]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -17.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.48	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.45,0.48	0.22	0.30	0.04	20	70%	0.53	2	-0.05	14	79%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	8	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	19	42%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.15	2	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	17	50%	-0.05	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	14	69%	0.30	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.07	0.03	16	73%	0.39	4	-0.12	16	81%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.00	17	65%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.06
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.08	0.02	15	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	53%	0.04	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.10
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	34.8	15.8	25.2	1.8	42.2	149.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +7.3%

PHX -5.3%

OKC +42.3%

OKC +5.7%

PHX -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	15.3	114.7	110.8	106.0
season	15.0	14.4		106.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	13.6	14.5	19.5	14.8
PHX	12.0	13.5	13.7	15.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	53	52	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	0	4	14.0	15.6	-1.57	12.6	14.4	-1.76
Russell Westbrook	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	4	-4	15.5	13.1	2.37	13.7	12.7	1.03
James Harden	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	15.2	14.2	0.95	13.9	12.9	0.96
Kevin Durant	89	91	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	3	-2	14.4	17.5	-3.08	13.7	11.3	2.45
Jeff Green	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	4	-4	15.7	11.7	3.98	13.6	12.9	0.71
Eric Maynor	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-3	10	13.7	15.1	-1.41	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Nick Collison	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	0	4	14.8	14.8	-0.02	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Nenad Krstic	41	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.66	12.5	14.1	-1.54
Serge Ibaka	50	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	14.8	14.8	-0.03	13.9	13.0	0.94

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	7	-18	13.0	13.9	-0.90	15.8	13.7	2.10
Goran Dragic	31	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	7	-18	13.4	13.5	-0.15	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Jason Richardson	75	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-9	14	13.3	13.9	-0.53	15.0	14.1	0.94
Steve Nash	83	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-12	20	13.5	13.1	0.44	14.4	16.2	-1.77
Lou Amundson	34	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	8	-20	12.8	13.8	-1.04	13.3	15.6	-2.23
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	13.6	12.9	0.62	14.1	18.4	-4.27
Channing Frye	84	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	13.5	13.2	0.36	15.8	9.8	6.07
Jared Dudley	64	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.62	-1	-3	2	14.1	12.4	1.70	15.0	14.5	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.47,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,0	92.1%
POR 82, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	91.1%
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,0	90.8%