NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.4 [351]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +56.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	85		Comeback	6.0 [136]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -16.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.56	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.42,0.56	0.13	0.43	-0.00	25	63%	0.71	5	-0.15	21	67%	-0.03
Nenad Krstic	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	52%	0.09	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	7	58%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.02	7	50%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.22	10	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	31.4	15.8	28.1	2.5	43.6	147.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +45.2%

MIL -2.0%

NJN +16.2%

MIL -5.5%

MIL -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	17.1	15.6	97.8	96.6	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		102.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.6	15.3	16.3	12.7	15.2
MIL	16.9	19.0	15.7	16.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	73	71	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.35	16	-12	28	14.7	17.0	-2.30	18.4	11.4	7.07
Nenad Krstic	64	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-9	22	15.9	13.3	2.59	18.6	13.1	5.55
Clifford Robinson	47	45	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-1	6	14.4	15.9	-1.46	15.0	19.2	-4.16
Vince Carter	80	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	15.1	15.4	-0.24	17.2	16.2	0.93
Richard Jefferson	79	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	9	-14	15.0	16.2	-1.26	16.5	20.7	-4.19
Antoine Wright	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	-2	8	15.7	15.0	0.72	19.1	16.6	2.45
Marc Jackson	3	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	7	-10	14.0	15.2	-1.19	17.3	17.0	0.29
Scott Padgett	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	13.7	15.3	-1.59	12.7	17.4	-4.72
Jason Collins	58	56	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	7	-10	16.1	13.5	2.52	17.8	15.7	2.15
Jacque Vaughn	29	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	14	-24	14.6	15.4	-0.88	12.4	19.0	-6.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	23	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.14	-2	-2	0	15.2	17.7	-2.49	16.0	14.9	1.15
T.J. Ford	53	53	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.25	-7	3	-10	18.5	14.9	3.60	15.9	14.1	1.80
Charlie Bell	26	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-10	16	13.7	18.5	-4.78	14.4	15.5	-1.05
Andrew Bogut	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	8	-20	19.3	13.5	5.75	15.6	14.4	1.27
Joe Smith	34	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.59	8	-12	20	13.5	19.3	-5.75	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Bobby Simmons	64	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.48	2	-6	8	17.8	15.0	2.89	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Jamaal Magloire	62	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	0	-4	18.2	14.2	4.01	16.0	13.4	2.60
Mo Williams	47	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.53	-2	-2	0	15.0	19.4	-4.32	14.3	16.3	-2.05
Michael Redd	77	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	17.4	14.8	2.56	14.6	18.5	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	91.3%
SAS 88, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,0	91.2%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	90.9%