NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	7.2 [386]		MVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): +30.6%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.3 [1045]		LVP	Melvin Ely (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.13	0.01	17	69%	0.31	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Bernard Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	16	51%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Burleson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	12	39%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.15	0.01	20	63%	0.35	3	-0.09	14	93%	0.07
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.10	0.05	6	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	29%	-0.14
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	19	57%	0.10	2	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.2	16.4	25.9	2.0	41.3	137.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.5%

WAS +21.0%

WAS +22.5%

CHA -15.0%

WAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.6	104.3	113.8	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		100.5	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	16.9	19.6	13.2	16.5
WAS	13.5	14.4	13.1	16.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-11	12	14.7	17.2	-2.54	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Bernard Robinson	54	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-9	8	15.3	18.1	-2.83	13.9	15.0	-1.17
Primoz Brezec	66	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-9	8	16.5	16.5	-0.05	15.0	12.6	2.40
Kevin Burleson	15	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-2	-6	16.9	16.4	0.54	12.6	14.7	-2.13
Matt Carroll	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	16.4	16.9	-0.57	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Alan Anderson	30	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	17.6	16.0	1.60	14.7	14.1	0.54
Raymond Felton	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	16.5	16.1	0.43	14.6	12.1	2.54
Melvin Ely	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	2	-14	17.4	14.5	2.89	14.9	12.9	2.00
Jumaine Jones	51	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.12	-17	7	-24	16.9	16.0	0.93	13.9	14.8	-0.85

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	14.1	15.9	-1.82	16.1	19.1	-2.96
Jared Jeffries	57	56	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	2	6	13.3	15.9	-2.58	17.4	15.1	2.24
Antonio Daniels	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	3	4	15.0	13.4	1.62	15.8	17.6	-1.80
Donell Taylor	33	30	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	1	8	14.0	14.5	-0.51	17.5	16.0	1.45
Antawn Jamison	74	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	14.4	14.2	0.16	15.8	18.9	-3.14
Caron Butler	78	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	5	0	14.4	14.1	0.32	16.9	14.7	2.17
Brendan Haywood	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	6	-2	14.2	14.4	-0.21	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Etan Thomas	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	8	-6	15.3	13.6	1.73	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Michael Ruffin	6	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	14	-18	15.8	14.2	1.61	20.4	16.2	4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 80, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.92,1	92.6%
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.3%
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%